Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3152…71c1
crypto · 469 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$14
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses244 / 218
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)462 / 469
History coverage46d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 7 History 462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$23
14 days−$40
30 days−$48
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 22¢ 28¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+29%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 64¢ 38¢ $4 $2 −$2 (-41%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 33¢ 33¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 14 $5 −$2 -41%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $4 +$2 +57%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $2 $0 +18%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $2 +$1 +73%
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $2 $0 -10%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -60%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $2 +$1 +55%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $1 $0 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$4 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 29°C on May 31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 31? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on May 29? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $22 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$8 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -3%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +83%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 +$1 +31%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 +$3 +250%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $2 +$1 +34%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$57
other 7% −$11
sports 2% +$5
weather 1% −$2
finance 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 33¢ $1 14m
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 16¢ $3 14m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 40¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 39¢ $1 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 64¢ $2 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 64¢ $2 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL No 100¢ $2 7h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $2 9h
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 8¢ $2 9h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL Yes 11¢ $2 10h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 84¢ $2 18h
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 18h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $2 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 64¢ $2 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 74¢ $1 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 24h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 42¢ $1 25h
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 -25.6% -32.7% 41% 32% -19.3%
≤30d 341 -8.6% -17.3% 53% 34% -13.7%
≤90d 462 -8.6% -17.3% 53% 34% -14.2%
all 462 -8.6% -17.3% 53% 34% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.3% 34% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 19% -22.4%
15% -32.5% 13% -29.9%
20% -39.1% 9% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.08 · official $14.08 (match) · 1484 history records