trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $19 | $17 | −$2 (-10%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Up | 21¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Up | 13¢ | 0¢ | $5 | $0 | −$5 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET | Jun 12 | $21 | −$10 | -48% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | Jun 12 | $21 | −$5 | -26% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | Jun 12 | $16 | +$2 | +13% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET | Jun 12 | $15 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $8 | +$9 | +112% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $28 | −$21 | -74% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 50% | 33% | -36.4% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 50% | 33% | -36.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 50% | 33% | -36.4% |
| all | 6 | -24.5% | -31.7% | 50% | 33% | -36.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -31.7% | 33% | -36.4% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -38.2% | 17% | -42.5% |
| 15% | -44.2% | 17% | -48.1% |
| 20% | -49.6% | 17% | -53.2% |