Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x316e…71d0
crypto · 1760 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$410 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,307 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9
Realized−$1,307
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses1673 / 284
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1957 / 1760
History coverage58d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day31.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 1957 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,275
7 days−$1,268
14 days−$1,264
30 days−$1,265
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 96¢ 88¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-8%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 23, 1PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - April 21, 10AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 97¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Up 96¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 22, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - February 25, 3PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 4PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 21, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 19, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 16, 9AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 9, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$27
other 1% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-18.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 720 -25.6% -32.7% 70% 6% -39.6%
≤30d 1119 -16.5% -24.5% 78% 8% -29.6%
≤90d 1957 -9.8% -18.4% 85% 6% -21.3%
all 1957 -9.8% -18.4% 85% 6% -21.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover31.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.4% 6% -21.3%
10% ← realistic here -26.2% 2% -28.8%
15% -33.3% 1% -35.7%
20% -39.8% 0% -42.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.43 · official $9.62 (match) · 3500 history records