Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:42:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x3171…b991
sports · 148 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$270 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$264 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$391
Realized+$264
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses98 / 28
Est. fees paid−$22
Open positions22
Markets (closed)126 / 148
History coverage4d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day92.9
Drawdown35%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 22 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$287
7 days+$264
14 days+$264
30 days+$264
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 84¢ 83¢ $106 $105 −$1 (-1%)
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ 100¢ $50 $51 +$1 (+1%)
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $38 $44 +$6 (+16%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 92¢ 100¢ $40 $43 +$3 (+8%)
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic Ivan Biletic 65¢ 68¢ $30 $31 +$1 (+3%)
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Iva Jovic 78¢ 74¢ $30 $29 −$1 (-4%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 59¢ 56¢ $30 $28 −$2 (-5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 50¢ 48¢ $16 $15 −$1 (-5%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 79¢ 84¢ $11 $12 +$1 (+5%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Toby Samuel 98¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-2%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 46¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-3%)
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-10%)
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes $1 $1 −$0 (-25%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 45¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Tom Gentzsch 63¢ $31 $0 −$31 (-100%)
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Manel Lazaro Juncadella 14¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 12 $210 +$7 +3%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $110 +$9 +8%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $140 +$6 +4%
ITF Nice: Tatiana Pieri vs Alina Granwehr Jun 12 $140 +$14 +10%
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Jun 12 $30 +$4 +13%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $160 +$4 +2%
ITF Casablanca: Ekaterina Perelygina vs Emma Lene Jun 12 $61 +$2 +4%
ITF kiseljak: Sergi Perez Contri vs Yanis Ghazouani Durand Jun 12 $10 +$3 +27%
ITF Madrid: Ruth Roura Llaverias vs Maileen Nuudi Jun 12 $60 +$3 +4%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Laura Mair Jun 12 $20 $0 +0%
ITF Nice: Alevtina Ibragimova vs Clara Burel Jun 12 $4 $0 +1%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $20 $0 +2%
ITF Casablanca: Nina Vargova vs Martina Colmegna Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $130 +$4 +3%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Branko Djuric vs Nicolas Jadoun Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Yuno Kitahara Jun 12 $40 $0 +0%
ITF Tokyo: Jake Delaney vs Alan Magadan Jun 12 $105 +$2 +2%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $6 +$2 +37%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Marjorie Souza Jun 12 $260 +$10 +4%
ITF Los Angeles: Maxwell Exsted vs Theodore Dean Jun 12 $10 +$6 +62%
ITF Los Angeles: Noah Zamora vs Spencer Johnson Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $321 +$24 +7%
ITF Los Angeles: Gus Grumet vs Tristan Stringer Jun 11 $25 +$3 +13%
ITF Cuiaba: Catarina Melleiro vs Gabriella Price Jun 11 $50 $0 +0%
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife Jun 11 $240 +$15 +6%
Olimpia Milano vs. Reyer Venezia Jun 11 $125 $0 +0%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $50 +$17 +34%
ITF Brasilia: Rafael Tosetto vs Joao Victor Couto Loureiro Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Alexandra Vagramov vs Ingrid Carolina Millan Acosta Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Los Angeles: Abigail Haile vs Alina Shcherbinina Jun 11 $10 $0 +1%
ITF Los Angeles: Kristina Penickova vs Kenzie Nguyen Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
ITF Decatur: Zuzanna Pawlikowska vs Jaedan Brown Jun 11 $150 +$7 +4%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
ITF Nice: Clara Burel vs Deborah Chiesa Jun 11 $20 +$4 +18%
ITF Martos: Manel Lazaro Juncadella vs John Echeverria Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
ITF Wichita: Pavle Marinkov vs Duncan Chan Jun 11 $64 $0 +0%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 11 $40 −$40 -99%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $10 −$10 -98%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $10 +$9 +93%
ITF Casablanca: Elina Nepliy vs Carlota Martinez Cirez Jun 11 $6 $0 +1%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $130 +$3 +2%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $235 +$3 +1%
ITF Ceska Lipa: Georgii Kravchenko vs Matyas Cerny Jun 11 $40 +$3 +8%
ITF Monastir: Meriem Ben Ezzedine vs Chiara Fornasieri Jun 11 $100 +$3 +3%
ITF Guimaraes: Manon Leonard vs Ana Sofia Sanchez Jun 11 $171 +$46 +27%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% +$296
other 2% −$17
crypto 1% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 61¢ $10 9m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 58¢ $10 10m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 57¢ $10 11m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 75¢ $10 12m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 80¢ $10 12m
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 79¢ $10 12m
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 70¢ $10 17m
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 66¢ $10 17m
ITF kiseljak: Ivan Biletic vs Duje Ajdukovic BUY Ivan Biletic 61¢ $10 18m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 98¢ $10 36m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 98¢ $10 36m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ $10 36m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ $10 36m
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena BUY Roberto Carballes Baena 99¢ $10 37m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $2 51m
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 99¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 98¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 97¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
ITF Casablanca: Maria Garcia Cid vs Aran Teixido Garcia BUY Aran Teixido Garcia 96¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 126 -6.9% -15.8% 78% 22% -6.2%
≤30d 126 -6.9% -15.8% 78% 22% -6.2%
≤90d 126 -6.9% -15.8% 78% 22% -6.2%
all 126 -6.9% -15.8% 78% 22% -6.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover92.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 22% -6.2%
10% ← realistic here -23.8% 16% -15.2%
15% -31.2% 10% -23.4%
20% -37.9% 6% -30.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $390.59 · official $390.80 (match) · 444 history records