Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T03:46:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
31 0x3187…70ce crypto 1037 markets active 1h ago coverage 36d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 35d only
✗ bot/MM pace (73 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1,310 (-8%) realized −$1,310 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -30% what you keep after slip
Net edge-30%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate67%746W / 367L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$16per market
Trades / day73.5pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days+$9
14 days−$158
30 days−$781
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$76
other 3% −$520
sports 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (73 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 326 -26.2% -33.3% 49% 20% -8.8%
≤30d 727 -15.8% -23.8% 64% 22% -14.4%
≤90d 1113 -9.2% -17.9% 67% 27% -13.3%
all 1113 -9.2% -17.9% 67% 27% -13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 27% -13.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.7% 18% -21.6%
15% -32.9% 12% -29.2%
20% -39.5% 7% -36.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -4% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
57% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -9% · $-wt -4% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -18% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.3 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$5 · ×0.31 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.64 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

36d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,310
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses746 / 367
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1113 / 1037
History coverage36d ⚠
Avg bet$16
Trades / day73.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1113 Trades
no open positions (276 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 28 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $21 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $23 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $23 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $28 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $23 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $28 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $25 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $22 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $23 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $28 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $21 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $22 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $23 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $28 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $25 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $21 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $22 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $22 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $23 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records