Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31a4…21ff
crypto · 107 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$22
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses65 / 41
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)106 / 107
History coverage153d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 1 History 106 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$23
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 58¢ 16¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-72%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs HOTU (BO3) HOTU 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Inner Circle Esports - Map 1 Winner 3DMAX 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs Nemiga - Map 2 Winner Nemiga 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Valorant: LOUD vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs LOUD 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs 777 (BO3) 777 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner fnatic 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$6 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$2 +67%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $2 +$1 +41%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -50%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Feb 09 $9 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Feb 09 $10 −$1 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 65% −$65
sports 25% +$54
other 10% −$14
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 70¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 46¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Down 91¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 30¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 72¢ $2 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-20.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -24.2% -31.4% 56% 44% -26.6%
≤30d 48 -24.2% -31.4% 56% 44% -26.6%
≤90d 48 -24.2% -31.4% 56% 44% -26.6%
all 106 -12.0% -20.3% 61% 38% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.3% 38% -10.7%
10% -28.0% 23% -19.2%
15% -34.9% 11% -27.0%
20% -41.3% 9% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.82 · official $2.02 · 254 history records