trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 46% | 46% | -10.0% |
| ≤30d | 24 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 46% | 46% | -10.0% |
| ≤90d | 24 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 46% | 46% | -10.0% |
| all | 24 | +43.9% | +30.2% | 46% | 46% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +30.2% | 46% | -10.0% |
| 10% | +17.7% | 38% | -18.6% |
| 15% | +6.4% | 38% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -4.1% | 29% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 76¢ | 72¢ | $60 | $57 | −$3 (-5%) |
| Will France win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 54¢ | 56¢ | $25 | $26 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 56¢ | 56¢ | $25 | $25 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 65¢ | 64¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 32¢ | 32¢ | $25 | $25 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score | No | 60¢ | 58¢ | $25 | $24 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 58¢ | 56¢ | $23 | $22 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | No | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+4%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $26 | −$6 | -24% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $26 | +$14 | +52% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $26 | +$5 | +20% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $26 | +$5 | +18% |
| Iraq vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 16 | $11 | +$14 | +130% |
| France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 | Jun 16 | $42 | −$24 | -58% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $42 | +$16 | +39% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $11 | +$20 | +189% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $32 | +$42 | +135% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$11 | -41% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $26 | +$13 | +50% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $26 | +$12 | +46% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $26 | −$25 | -95% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $5 | +$71 | +1349% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $26 | +$28 | +108% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $26 | −$15 | -58% |