Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:45:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31b0…8bf3
sports · 188 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$98,807 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$100,122 · open +$1,314
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$9,059
Realized−$100,122
Unrealized+$1,314
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses93 / 92
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$10,060
Open positions3
Markets (closed)185 / 188
History coverage84d
Avg bet$4,608
Trades / day23.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 185 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$8,424
14 days−$8,424
30 days−$16,220
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ 100¢ $5,142 $7,041 +$1,898 (+37%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Monte 35¢ 34¢ $2,047 $2,018 −$30 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner B8 37¢ 0¢ $555 $1 −$554 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 37¢ 0¢ $3,700 $0 −$3,700 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 58¢ 0¢ $5,800 $0 −$5,800 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 65¢ 0¢ $10,400 $0 −$10,400 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 47¢ 0¢ $7,992 $0 −$7,992 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 64¢ 0¢ $10,716 $0 −$10,716 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 66¢ 0¢ $3,955 $0 −$3,955 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Movistar KOI 44¢ 0¢ $1,302 $0 −$1,302 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 80¢ 0¢ $11,331 $0 −$11,331 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 42¢ 0¢ $1,790 $0 −$1,790 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winner Astralis 53¢ 0¢ $1,428 $0 −$1,428 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 51¢ 0¢ $6,221 $0 −$6,221 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 73¢ 0¢ $8,122 $0 −$8,122 (-100%)
Game Handicap: HLE (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) KT Rolster 68¢ 0¢ $11,223 $0 −$11,223 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 66¢ 0¢ $6,120 $0 −$6,120 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports 66¢ 0¢ $4,768 $0 −$4,768 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 50¢ 0¢ $1,928 $0 −$1,928 (-100%)
Game Handicap: T1 (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) Nongshim Red Force 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana ThunderTalk Gaming 32¢ 0¢ $1,329 $0 −$1,329 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner GIANTX 42¢ 0¢ $2,310 $0 −$2,310 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 48¢ 0¢ $1,178 $0 −$1,178 (-100%)
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner PlayTime 44¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 76¢ 0¢ $7,643 $0 −$7,643 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $3,360 −$3,360 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2,245 +$1,157 +52%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $6,258 −$6,221 -99%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 21 $8,123 −$8,122 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Q May 19 $3,644 +$4,356 +120%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winner May 19 $10,675 −$10,482 -98%
Game Handicap: BFX (-1.5) vs Nongshim Red Force (+1.5) May 19 $7,036 +$3,506 +50%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 19 $1,171 +$1,550 +132%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 19 $1,828 +$571 +31%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 18 $714 −$714 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 18 $6,173 −$6,120 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 17 $3,843 +$1,837 +48%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 17 $1,624 +$837 +52%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 17 $8,207 +$3,977 +48%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A May 16 $3,873 +$3,551 +92%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team - Game 2 Winner May 16 $2,887 +$2,091 +72%
LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner May 16 $16,207 −$16,048 -99%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs magic - Map 2 Winner May 15 $6,438 +$6,372 +99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner May 15 $7,769 +$2,926 +38%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 13 $8,058 +$2,139 +26%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner May 13 $24 −$24 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner May 13 $11,394 −$11,331 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 13 $1,036 +$558 +54%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 13 $5,800 −$5,800 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 12 $9,228 +$10,722 +116%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 12 $19,228 −$19,098 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner May 12 $4,029 +$4,718 +117%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 11 $10,400 −$10,400 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner May 11 $2,608 −$2,575 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 10 $3,960 +$2,040 +52%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 10 $3,955 −$3,955 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 9z - Map 2 Winner May 10 $14,633 +$4,587 +31%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $8,163 +$1,417 +17%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner May 10 $4,817 −$4,768 -99%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 10 $10,912 +$2,172 +20%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage May 10 $13,344 +$13,468 +101%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 2 Winner May 10 $1,178 −$1,178 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs G2 - Map 2 Winner May 10 $6,106 +$6,760 +111%
LoL: G2 Esports vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner May 10 $3,787 +$1,165 +31%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner May 09 $3,506 +$4,459 +127%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 09 $1,306 −$1,302 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner May 09 $123 −$123 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner May 09 $1,928 −$1,928 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 09 $6,175 −$6,175 -100%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 08 $11,760 +$9,240 +79%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 08 $3,715 −$3,700 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner May 07 $4,827 +$5,173 +107%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 07 $2,293 −$2,267 -99%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 06 $13,566 −$9,663 -71%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 06 $6,909 +$8,091 +117%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$98,807
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 35¢ $2,087 17m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $4 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $362 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $0 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $21 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $11 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $30 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $181 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $25 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $2 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $1 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $3 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $12 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $23 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $27 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $54 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $16 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $81 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $13 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $71 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $213 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $235 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $81 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $3 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $22 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $27 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $5 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 73¢ $3,648 1h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $99 2h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY B8 37¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 3 -49.5% -54.3% 33% 33% -74.0%
≤30d 21 +2.8% -7.0% 62% 62% -22.9%
≤90d 185 -7.9% -16.6% 50% 50% -20.1%
all 185 -7.9% -16.6% 50% 50% -20.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.6% 50% -20.1%
10% -24.6% 48% -27.7%
15% ← realistic here -31.9% 42% -34.7%
20% -38.6% 34% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9,059.22 · official $9,059.80 (match) · 2205 history records