Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:04:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31c2…c9c3
crypto · 436 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$2 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses267 / 169
Open positions0
Markets (closed)436 / 436
History coverage14d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day33.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 436 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$41
7 days−$113
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$6 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$18 +351%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$8 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$6 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$7 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$12 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$8 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$11 +118%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $4 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 42m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $10 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $17 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 33¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $9 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $9 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 369 -5.6% -14.6% 59% 51% -13.9%
≤30d 436 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 54% -9.4%
≤90d 436 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 54% -9.4%
all 436 +0.7% -8.9% 61% 54% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover33.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 54% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 49% -18.1%
15% -25.6% 43% -26.0%
20% -32.9% 35% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 773 history records