Wallet analysis

2026-06-22T01:05:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
31 0x31c5…0a2e crypto 55 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (202 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$7 (-0%) realized −$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -35% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -50% what you keep after slip
Net edge-50%after slip
Net WR22%break-even
Win rate22%12W / 43L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$69per market
Trades / day202.0pace
Fees−$46est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 61% −$873
sports 39% −$208
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (202 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-41.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 55 -35.2% -41.4% 22% 22% -35.2%
≤30d 55 -35.2% -41.4% 22% 22% -35.2%
≤90d 55 -35.2% -41.4% 22% 22% -35.2%
all 55 -35.2% -41.4% 22% 22% -35.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover202.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -41.4% 22% -35.2%
10% ← realistic here -47.0% 20% -41.4%
15% -52.1% 18% -47.1%
20% -56.8% 15% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 43% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -28% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -35% · $-wt -28% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -44% → late -27% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
3.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$50 vs −$39 · ×1.27 wins ≈ losses
Profit factor
×0.36 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses12 / 43
Est. fees paid−$46
Open positions0
Markets (closed)55 / 55
History coverage1d
Avg bet$69
Trades / day202.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 55 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 22 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 22 $16 −$4 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 22 $5 +$22 +422%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 22 $36 +$28 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 22 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 21 $62 −$20 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 21 $31 −$31 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 21 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 21 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 21 $63 −$63 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 21 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 21 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 21 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 21 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 21 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 21 $21 +$16 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 21 $42 +$18 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 21 $59 +$144 +246%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 21 $74 −$74 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 21 $43 −$43 -100%
Major League Cricket: Seattle Orcas vs Los Angeles Knight Riders Jun 21 $410 −$101 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 21 $78 −$2 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 21 $42 +$112 +267%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 21 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 21 $53 −$53 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 21 $63 +$20 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 21 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 21 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 21 $32 +$69 +219%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 21 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 21 $105 +$54 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 21 $146 −$146 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 21 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 21 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 21 $84 −$32 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 21 $122 −$27 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 21 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 21 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 21 $32 +$81 +255%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 21 $52 +$23 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 21 $31 −$11 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 21 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 21 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 68¢ $28 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 3¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 12¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 255 history records