trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 0% | 0% | -13.8% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -1.6% | -10.9% | 0% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +7.5% | -2.8% | 25% | 12% | -6.9% |
| all | 20 | -6.1% | -15.1% | 50% | 5% | -7.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.1% | 5% | -7.2% |
| 10% | -23.2% | 5% | -16.1% |
| 15% | -30.6% | 5% | -24.2% |
| 20% | -37.4% | 5% | -31.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026? | No | 37¢ | 39¢ | $42 | $44 | +$2 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $40 | −$2 | -5% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | May 26 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 25 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | May 24 | $39 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? | May 24 | $43 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 24 | $38 | −$4 | -10% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | May 23 | $16 | +$11 | +71% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 21 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130K in July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 U.S. Open? | Jun 18 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win by over 23%? | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will Holger Rune win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Jayson Tatum play in Game 5? | May 16 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bobby Kotick buy TikTok? | Apr 28 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Conservatives flip Liberals in the polls before the election? | Apr 28 | $13 | $0 | +2% |
| Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | Apr 26 | $13 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will Trump pardon Steve Bannon in his first 100 days? | Apr 04 | $14 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win La Liga? | Apr 03 | $13 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the Western Conference? | Mar 25 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Canada election called by Sunday? | Mar 24 | $13 | $0 | +3% |