Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:05:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

31
0x31fb…edf2
crypto · 2135 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,090 -64%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,089 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$2,089
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses1264 / 946
Open positions4
Markets (closed)2210 / 2135
History coverage40d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day55.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 4 History 2210 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,014
7 days−$2,014
14 days−$2,009
30 days−$1,927
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 65¢ 60¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 58¢ 48¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-17%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 64¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-27%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 65¢ 46¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-29%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 29, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026 Jun 12 $0 −$30 -9225%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 30, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 27, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 28, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 29, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 27, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 93% −$96
other 7% +$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 1m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 2m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 4m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $1 17m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 19m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 19m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $0 44m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 49m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-15.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 269 -72.6% -75.2% 18% 18% -96.7%
≤30d 1815 -6.4% -15.3% 57% 57% -56.7%
≤90d 2210 -6.8% -15.7% 57% 57% -46.0%
all 2210 -6.8% -15.7% 57% 57% -46.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.7% 57% -46.0%
10% ← realistic here -23.7% 57% -51.1%
15% -31.1% 54% -55.9%
20% -37.9% 40% -60.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.35 · official $3.25 (match) · 3500 history records