Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:03:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3200…e237
crypto · 10 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$25 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$1
Realized−$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses3 / 6
Open positions1
Markets (closed)9 / 10
History coverage1d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day53.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 1 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$25
14 days−$25
30 days−$25
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 44¢ 44¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $26 −$7 -27%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$2 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$8 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$25
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $2 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 80¢ $3 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 83¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 57¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 40¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +11%
net ROI/market (all)-25.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 11% -25.7%
≤30d 9 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 11% -25.7%
≤90d 9 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 11% -25.7%
all 9 -18.1% -25.9% 33% 11% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -25.9% 11% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here -33.0% 0% -32.8%
15% -39.5% 0% -39.3%
20% -45.4% 0% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 58 history records