Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3206…11f9
crypto · 396 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$40 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$7
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$20
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$7
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses218 / 176
Open positions3
Markets (closed)394 / 396
History coverage4d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day738.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 3 History 394 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$35
7 days−$34
14 days−$34
30 days−$34
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Down 55¢ 52¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET Up 45¢ 46¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-98%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 7PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -28%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +37%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $85 −$43 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $153 −$11 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $14 −$1 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $52 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $119 −$14 -12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$9 +59%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $66 −$3 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $35 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1PM ET Jun 13 $97 −$8 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$2 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12PM ET Jun 13 $14 +$1 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11AM ET Jun 13 $57 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$32 +35%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +89%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$24 +300%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $18 −$1 -7%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $137 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$3 +57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 7AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $25 +$4 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5AM ET Jun 13 $76 −$2 -3%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$2 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 82% −$24
other 18% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 12m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 40m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 44m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 46m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 50m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 51m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $6 54m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 55m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $3 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 57m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 58m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 394 +0.0% -9.5% 55% 38% -9.8%
≤30d 394 +0.0% -9.5% 55% 38% -9.8%
≤90d 394 +0.0% -9.5% 55% 38% -9.8%
all 394 +0.0% -9.5% 55% 38% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover738.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 38% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 25% -18.4%
15% -26.1% 17% -26.3%
20% -33.3% 12% -33.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19.64 · official $19.64 (match) · 3500 history records