trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 50% | 50% | -25.9% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -22.4% | -29.8% | 50% | 50% | -25.9% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -5.7% | -14.7% | 64% | 55% | -20.2% |
| all | 17 | -30.6% | -37.2% | 47% | 41% | -45.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -37.2% | 41% | -45.5% |
| 10% | -43.2% | 29% | -50.7% |
| 15% | -48.7% | 24% | -55.4% |
| 20% | -53.7% | 12% | -59.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $3 | $9 | +$6 (+187%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 | Jun 24 | $205 | +$32 | +16% |
| Panama vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 24 | $1,217 | −$701 | -58% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5 | Jun 23 | $402 | −$392 | -98% |
| England vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $346 | −$340 | -98% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 23 | $389 | +$187 | +48% |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $1,317 | +$462 | +35% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $204 | +$162 | +79% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 22 | $181 | −$178 | -98% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? | May 07 | $186 | +$14 | +8% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | Apr 12 | $144 | +$30 | +21% |
| Knicks vs. Hornets | Apr 01 | $186 | +$164 | +89% |
| Grizzlies vs. Nets | Mar 09 | $756 | −$756 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Lakers | Mar 08 | $870 | −$870 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. 76ers | Mar 03 | $216 | −$216 | -100% |
| Pelicans vs. Jazz | Mar 03 | $210 | +$90 | +43% |
| Lakers vs. Warriors | Feb 28 | $152 | −$152 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Raptors | Feb 11 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |