Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T16:38:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x3219…2dd9 crypto 900 markets active 1h ago coverage 10d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 10d only
✗ bot/MM pace (234 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$34,264 (-17%) realized −$34,264 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR6%break-even
Win rate93%852W / 67L
Whale WR82%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$224per market
Trades / day234.1pace
Kalshi-fit92%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,183
7 days−$24,910
14 days−$26,014
30 days−$26,014
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 94% −$1,169
other 6% −$650
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (234 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 480 -5.6% -14.6% 91% 5% -25.7%
≤30d 919 -3.4% -12.6% 93% 6% -19.9%
≤90d 919 -3.4% -12.6% 93% 6% -19.9%
all 919 -3.4% -12.6% 93% 6% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover234.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 6% -19.9%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 2% -27.6%
15% -28.6% 1% -34.6%
20% -35.6% 1% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 4% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
93% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 82% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early -1% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$493 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.21 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

10d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$34,264
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses852 / 67
Whale WR (big bets)82%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)919 / 900
History coverage10d ⚠
Avg bet$224
Trades / day234.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 919 Trades
no open positions (45 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 15 $126 −$126 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 15 $75 −$75 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 15 $700 −$700 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $25 −$25 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 15 $75 −$75 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 4? Jun 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 7? Jun 15 $4,889 −$5,018 -103%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $75 −$75 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 3, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 6? Jun 15 $7,034 −$7,034 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11PM ET Jun 15 $300 −$300 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 5, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Will the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on May 8? Jun 15 $4,235 −$4,235 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $200 −$200 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on May 4? Jun 15 $5,522 −$5,522 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 3AM ET Jun 15 $430 −$430 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $503 +$45 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $302 +$35 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $355 +$99 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $300 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $300 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $204 −$204 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $301 +$20 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $300 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 15 $200 +$2 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $300 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $251 +$8 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $401 +$7 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $202 +$6 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $200 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $300 +$3 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$4 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $501 +$12 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$6 +6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $873 +$34 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $75 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $400 +$4 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $100 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $381 +$7 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $301 +$10 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $611 +$18 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $603 +$59 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $702 +$26 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $311 +$3 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $100 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 35m
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $101 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $101 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $101 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $101 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $102 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $101 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $100 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records