trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -20.8% | -28.4% | 8% | 0% | -26.4% |
| ≤30d | 16 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 25% | 19% | -10.5% |
| ≤90d | 16 | -4.2% | -13.3% | 25% | 19% | -10.5% |
| all | 20 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 40% | 25% | -10.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.4% | 25% | -10.0% |
| 10% | -16.2% | 25% | -18.6% |
| 15% | -24.3% | 15% | -26.5% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 10% | -33.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $2,250 | $2,933 | +$683 (+30%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $1,710 | $1,750 | +$40 (+2%) |
| Will Michael Olise be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 1¢ | $127 | $22 | −$105 (-83%) |
| Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $21 | −$79 (-79%) |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 0¢ | $33 | $4 | −$28 (-86%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $85 | +$6 | +7% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $829 | −$119 | -14% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $1,067 | −$330 | -31% |
| Will Vinicius Junior be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $107 | −$46 | -43% |
| Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $70 | −$19 | -28% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $107 | −$33 | -30% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $107 | −$29 | -28% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $1,334 | −$82 | -6% |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $533 | −$45 | -8% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $267 | −$5 | -2% |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $267 | −$79 | -30% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $532 | −$140 | -26% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $534 | −$168 | -31% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $529 | +$722 | +137% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $263 | +$99 | +37% |
| Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | May 23 | $642 | +$191 | +30% |
| Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | Mar 08 | $135 | +$10 | +8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 08 | $61 | +$3 | +5% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 29 | $16 | +$5 | +30% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | Jan 14 | $25 | +$18 | +72% |