trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 29% | 29% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -15.7% | -23.7% | 29% | 29% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 31 | -17.7% | -25.6% | 26% | 26% | -71.6% |
| all | 31 | -17.7% | -25.6% | 26% | 26% | -71.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -25.6% | 26% | -71.6% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -32.7% | 26% | -74.3% |
| 15% | -39.2% | 23% | -76.8% |
| 20% | -45.1% | 16% | -79.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $700 | $659 | −$41 (-6%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 29¢ | 28¢ | $580 | $570 | −$10 (-2%) |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Yes | 27¢ | 26¢ | $470 | $461 | −$9 (-2%) |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $450 | $447 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? | Yes | 22¢ | 22¢ | $440 | $430 | −$10 (-2%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 18¢ | 18¢ | $180 | $185 | +$5 (+3%) |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 17¢ | 16¢ | $170 | $155 | −$15 (-9%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 18 | $730 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $715 | −$700 | -98% |
| Will Canada vs. Qatar end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $717 | −$700 | -98% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $716 | −$700 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $706 | +$266 | +38% |
| Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Croatia? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 17 | $698 | −$698 | -100% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $919 | −$900 | -98% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $920 | −$900 | -98% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $705 | −$700 | -99% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 DR Congo? | Jun 17 | $8 | −$8 | -98% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $202 | +$76 | +38% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $201 | +$49 | +24% |
| Spread: Norway (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $51 | +$92 | +180% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $921 | −$900 | -98% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1,683 | −$981 | -58% |
| Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $205 | −$200 | -98% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $716 | +$2,465 | +344% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $715 | +$1,785 | +250% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $747 | +$2,617 | +350% |
| Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by A | Apr 12 | $1,214 | −$1,214 | -100% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | Apr 11 | $40,347 | −$40,317 | -100% |
| US x Iran meeting by April 30, 2026? | Apr 08 | $11,022 | −$7,715 | -70% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 07 | $30,997 | −$17,552 | -57% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in April? | Mar 31 | $507 | −$507 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $499 | +$1,420 | +285% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $500 | −$156 | -31% |