Wallet analysis

2026-06-29T18:40:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x323e…1dda sports 132 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
BOTnot copyable sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (126 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$146 (+1%) realized +$242 · open −$96
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR8%break-even
Win rate87%68W / 10L
Drawdown87%max
Avg bet$91per market
Trades / day125.7pace
Fees−$478est.
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$1,020now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days+$95
14 days+$95
30 days+$95
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% +$4
other 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (126 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -3.3% -12.5% 88% 8% -8.6%
≤30d 78 -3.3% -12.5% 87% 8% -8.6%
≤90d 78 -3.3% -12.5% 87% 8% -8.6%
all 78 -3.3% -12.5% 87% 8% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover125.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 8% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 1% -17.3%
15% -28.5% 0% -25.3%
20% -35.5% 0% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
91% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt +1% edge needs big-bet sizing — not flat-copyable
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -6% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
8.3 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$19 · ×0.21 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.57 per $1 lost it wins $1.57
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$1,020
Realized+$242
Unrealized−$96
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses68 / 10
Est. fees paid−$478
Open positions48
Markets (closed)78 / 132
History coverage13d
Avg bet$91
Trades / day125.7
Drawdown87%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 48 History 78 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Wimbledon WTA: Katerina Siniakova vs Qinwen Zheng Qinwen Zheng 41¢ 40¢ $370 $357 −$13 (-4%)
Wimbledon WTA: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs McCartney Kessler Oleksandra Oliynykova 14¢ 8¢ $169 $93 −$76 (-45%)
Wimbledon WTA: Dayana Yastremska vs Aoi Ito Aoi Ito 15¢ 14¢ $85 $83 −$3 (-3%)
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry Francesca Jones 24¢ 24¢ $77 $74 −$3 (-4%)
Wimbledon ATP: Kyrian Jacquet vs Vilius Gaubas Vilius Gaubas 31¢ 30¢ $74 $73 −$0 (-1%)
Wimbledon ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 45¢ 44¢ $35 $35 −$0 (-0%)
Wimbledon WTA: Veronika Erjavec vs Leolia Jeanjean Veronika Erjavec 36¢ 36¢ $33 $33 +$0 (+0%)
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys Matteo Arnaldi 44¢ 42¢ $29 $28 −$1 (-3%)
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton Otto Virtanen 25¢ 24¢ $23 $22 −$1 (-5%)
Wimbledon ATP: Jenson Brooksby vs Ignacio Buse Ignacio Buse 45¢ 44¢ $18 $17 −$1 (-3%)
Wimbledon WTA: Maria Sakkari vs Clara Tauson Maria Sakkari 36¢ 36¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Wimbledon ATP: Alexander Blockx vs Alexander Zverev Alexander Blockx 12¢ 14¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+12%)
Wimbledon WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Daria Snigur Daria Snigur 28¢ 28¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Wimbledon ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 27¢ 26¢ $13 $13 −$0 (-1%)
Wimbledon WTA: Taylor Townsend vs Iga Swiatek Taylor Townsend 15¢ 16¢ $12 $12 +$0 (+3%)
Wimbledon WTA: Ella Seidel vs Linda Noskova Ella Seidel 12¢ 12¢ $12 $12 −$1 (-4%)
Wimbledon ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Toby Samuel Toby Samuel 31¢ 32¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+2%)
Wimbledon WTA: Anhelina Kalinina vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 40¢ 40¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Wimbledon WTA: Petra Marcinko vs Sofia Kenin Sofia Kenin 44¢ 44¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Wimbledon ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Arthur Fils Raphael Collignon 46¢ 44¢ $9 $9 −$1 (-6%)
Wimbledon ATP: Yannick Hanfmann vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Yannick Hanfmann 44¢ 42¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-2%)
Wimbledon ATP: Ugo Humbert vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 41¢ 38¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-9%)
Wimbledon ATP: Adrian Mannarino vs Titouan Droguet Titouan Droguet 36¢ 36¢ $6 $7 +$0 (+0%)
Wimbledon ATP: Mariano Navone vs Flavio Cobolli Mariano Navone 25¢ 24¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Wimbledon ATP: Adam Walton vs Dino Prizmic Dino Prizmic 57¢ 99¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+73%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 3 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 29 $211 +$57 +27%
Wimbledon WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Nikola Bartunkova Jun 29 $150 +$17 +11%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Anastasia Potapova Jun 29 $28 +$1 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Mimi Xu vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 29 $294 −$133 -45%
Wimbledon WTA: Magdalena Frech vs Anna Kalinskaya Jun 29 $259 +$17 +6%
Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Teodora Kostovic Jun 29 $43 −$11 -25%
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 29 $17 +$3 +20%
Wimbledon ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 29 $162 +$6 +4%
Wimbledon ATP: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Sebastian Baez Jun 29 $263 +$4 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Beatriz Haddad Maia vs Maria Timofeeva Jun 29 $3 $0 +3%
Wimbledon WTA: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hannah Klugman Jun 29 $1 $0 +11%
Wimbledon WTA: Leylah Fernandez vs Janice Tjen Jun 29 $31 +$1 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Sorana Cirstea vs Sara Bejlek Jun 29 $2 $0 +3%
Wimbledon ATP: Adolfo Vallejo vs Nicolas Mejia Jun 29 $773 +$9 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo Jun 29 $69 +$4 +6%
Wimbledon ATP: Marin Cilic vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 29 $142 +$5 +3%
Wimbledon ATP: Casper Ruud vs Hubert Hurkacz Jun 29 $740 +$10 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Fabian Marozsan Jun 29 $13 $0 +3%
Wimbledon WTA: Claire Liu vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 29 $101 +$1 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Jun 29 $12 +$2 +15%
Wimbledon ATP: Ethan Quinn vs Luciano Darderi Jun 29 $216 +$3 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Joao Fonseca Jun 29 $195 +$5 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Corentin Moutet vs Marcos Giron Jun 29 $5 $0 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 29 $266 −$1 -0%
Wimbledon ATP: Nuno Borges vs Tristan Boyer Jun 29 $237 +$8 +3%
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Miomir Kecmanovic Jun 29 $76 $0 +0%
Wimbledon ATP: Michael Zheng vs Cameron Norrie Jun 29 $342 +$2 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Hamad Medjedovic vs Sebastian Ofner Jun 29 $508 +$7 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Yulia Putintseva vs Tatjana Maria Jun 29 $64 +$1 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Harriet Dart Jun 29 $32 +$1 +3%
Wimbledon ATP: Andrey Rublev vs Roman Safiullin Jun 29 $709 +$11 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Hugo Gaston vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Jun 29 $24 −$10 -44%
Wimbledon WTA: Bianca Andreescu vs Shuai Zhang Jun 29 $20 $0 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Ann Li vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 29 $245 +$4 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Alexandre Muller vs Tommy Paul Jun 29 $93 $0 +0%
Wimbledon WTA: Xinyu Wang vs Elisabetta Cocciaretto Jun 29 $48 +$1 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Emilio Nava vs Ignacio Buse Jun 29 $292 +$2 +1%
Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm Jun 29 $257 +$10 +4%
Wimbledon ATP: Shintaro Mochizuki vs Max Basing Jun 29 $37 +$1 +3%
Wimbledon WTA: Belinda Bencic vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 29 $34 +$2 +4%
Wimbledon ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 29 $279 +$7 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Felix Gill Jun 29 $61 +$4 +7%
Wimbledon ATP: Denis Shapovalov vs Pablo Carreno Busta Jun 29 $308 +$8 +3%
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 29 $256 +$6 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Jaqueline Cristian vs Iva Jovic Jun 29 $48 +$2 +4%
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Jack Draper Jun 29 $100 +$2 +2%
Wimbledon ATP: Dalibor Svrcina vs Learner Tien Jun 29 $29 +$1 +4%
Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Vukic vs Jenson Brooksby Jun 29 $34 +$1 +2%
Wimbledon WTA: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 29 $142 +$5 +4%
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 29 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Wimbledon ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Ben Shelton BUY Otto Virtanen 23¢ $9 10m
Wimbledon WTA: Alycia Parks vs Mananchaya Sawangkaew BUY Mananchaya Sawangkaew 40¢ $1 18m
Wimbledon WTA: Tatjana Maria vs Iva Jovic BUY Tatjana Maria 29¢ $1 20m
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic BUY Antonia Ruzic 27¢ $21 25m
Wimbledon WTA: Jelena Ostapenko vs Antonia Ruzic BUY Antonia Ruzic 28¢ $10 25m
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry SELL Francesca Jones 25¢ $36 27m
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry SELL Francesca Jones 25¢ $1 27m
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry SELL Francesca Jones 25¢ $25 27m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $18 27m
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry SELL Francesca Jones 25¢ $8 27m
Wimbledon WTA: Francesca Jones vs Diane Parry SELL Francesca Jones 25¢ $9 27m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $7 27m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $31 28m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $3 29m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $64 30m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $10 30m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $12 30m
Wimbledon ATP: Yibing Wu vs Novak Djokovic SELL Yibing Wu 4¢ $10 30m
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Dusan Lajovic BUY Dusan Lajovic 8¢ $2 33m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff SELL Tamara Korpatsch 6¢ $0 33m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff SELL Tamara Korpatsch 6¢ $0 34m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff SELL Tamara Korpatsch 6¢ $21 34m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff SELL Tamara Korpatsch 6¢ $1 34m
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria BUY Jaime Faria 47¢ $5 35m
Wimbledon ATP: Sho Shimabukuro vs Jaime Faria BUY Jaime Faria 47¢ $5 35m
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys BUY Matteo Arnaldi 42¢ $5 35m
Wimbledon ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Quentin Halys BUY Matteo Arnaldi 42¢ $4 35m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff BUY Tamara Korpatsch 4¢ $0 35m
Wimbledon WTA: Tamara Korpatsch vs Coco Gauff BUY Tamara Korpatsch 4¢ $0 36m
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy SELL Panna Udvardy 30¢ $506 38m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,019.58 · official $476.40 · 1672 history records