trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 24 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 38% | -2.1% |
| ≤30d | 24 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 38% | -2.1% |
| ≤90d | 24 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 38% | -2.1% |
| all | 24 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 38% | -2.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.4% | 38% | -2.1% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 33% | -11.4% |
| 15% | -28.4% | 33% | -20.0% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 29% | -27.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $400 | $386 | −$14 (-4%) |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 10, 2026? | Yes | 48¢ | 12¢ | $665 | $172 | −$493 (-74%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? | Jun 28 | $134 | +$457 | +342% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 26? | Jun 27 | $52 | −$52 | -100% |
| Belgium vs. IR Iran: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 27 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | Jun 27 | $1 | −$1 | -84% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in June? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by June 27? | Jun 27 | $201 | −$143 | -71% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by June 30? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 27 | $1 | $0 | +13% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in June? | Jun 27 | $35 | +$24 | +69% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 27? | Jun 26 | $52 | −$11 | -22% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 29? | Jun 26 | $116 | −$74 | -64% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 29? | Jun 26 | $145 | −$119 | -82% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 25? | Jun 25 | $52 | +$40 | +77% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $81 | +$35 | +43% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 23? | Jun 23 | $113 | −$108 | -95% |
| Jordan vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $20 | +$20 | +100% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5 | Jun 23 | $95 | +$74 | +78% |
| France vs. Iraq: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 22 | $60 | +$35 | +58% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | −$69 | -68% |
| Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Saudi Arabia? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -92% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 22? | Jun 21 | $1 | −$1 | -49% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 21? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | Jun 21 | $1 | $0 | +7% |