Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:39:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3256…c1db
other · 148 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$27 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$69 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses81 / 59
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions8
Markets (closed)140 / 148
History coverage60d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day12.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit21%
Chart Positions 8 History 140 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$9
14 days−$6
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? No 94¢ 96¢ $28 $29 +$0 (+2%)
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? Yes 34¢ 34¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 28¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? Yes 27¢ 26¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? Yes 25¢ 24¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 22¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 $0 +11%
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Jun 13 $47 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $195 −$4 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $47 +$2 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? Jun 12 $26 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $95 +$3 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? Jun 12 $18 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 10 $79 +$1 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 09 $9 $0 -4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 09 $55 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? Jun 08 $36 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? Jun 07 $37 +$1 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? Jun 06 $18 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? Jun 05 $55 +$2 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? Jun 04 $65 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 03 $29 −$13 -45%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? Jun 02 $18 −$3 -15%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in June? Jun 02 $48 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? Jun 02 $34 −$2 -6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in June? Jun 02 $19 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 31 $9 $0 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? May 31 $9 $0 +3%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 30 $1 $0 -42%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 30 to June 1, 2026? May 30 $21 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 30 $19 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 30 $62 −$7 -11%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 29 $19 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 29 $19 −$1 -5%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 29 $34 −$3 -8%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $38 +$2 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 28 to May 30, 2026? May 28 $37 +$1 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 28 $9 $0 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 28 $19 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 28 $92 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? May 27 $19 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 27 $9 $0 +2%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 27 $19 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 26 $116 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 26 $36 +$1 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 26 $191 −$4 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 26 $87 +$3 +3%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? May 26 $18 +$1 +4%
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? May 26 $19 $0 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026? May 25 $73 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 25 $1 $0 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 25 $122 −$3 -2%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026? May 25 $37 $0 +1%
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? May 24 $71 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 93% −$61
finance 5% −$1
world 1% −$6
sports 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $28 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? SELL Yes 33¢ $2 1h
Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? BUY Yes 34¢ $2 1h
Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 1h
Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? BUY Yes 25¢ $1 1h
Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 29¢ $1 1h
Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? BUY Yes 27¢ $1 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $29 1h
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $28 3h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? SELL Yes 26¢ $2 4h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 23¢ $1 4h
Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 5h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 21¢ $1 7h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $1 8h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? SELL No 97¢ $29 13h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $9 21h
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $19 21h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $34 21h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $19 21h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $19 21h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 96¢ $34 23h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 94¢ $19 25h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 92¢ $18 26h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $19 26h
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL No 99¢ $20 26h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 87¢ $9 28h
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? BUY No 86¢ $17 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +6%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +4.7% -5.3% 86% 21% -8.3%
≤30d 67 -1.4% -10.8% 61% 6% -10.6%
≤90d 140 -3.1% -12.4% 58% 6% -10.8%
all 140 -3.1% -12.4% 58% 6% -10.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 6% -10.8%
10% -20.8% 1% -19.3%
15% -28.4% 1% -27.1%
20% -35.4% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.64 · official $37.64 (match) · 756 history records