Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:20:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x325a…76bf
crypto · 51 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$9 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$15 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$15
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses25 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)51 / 51
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day59.0
Drawdown46%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 51 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$15
14 days+$15
30 days+$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$5 +148%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$4 +425%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+1.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 51 +12.4% +1.7% 49% 47% +9.8%
≤30d 51 +12.4% +1.7% 49% 47% +9.8%
≤90d 51 +12.4% +1.7% 49% 47% +9.8%
all 51 +12.4% +1.7% 49% 47% +9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.7% 47% +9.8%
10% ← realistic here -8.0% 47% -0.7%
15% -16.9% 47% -10.3%
20% -25.1% 47% -19.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 81 history records