Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:43:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x325c…cb5a
crypto · 34 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$7 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses27 / 7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)34 / 34
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day30.6
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 34 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $8 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -4%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$2 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $6 +$3 +55%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +57%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +75%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $3 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $4 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $2 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $4 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $3 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 11h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $2 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $6 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 13h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $4 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $4 14h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 15h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 27¢ $1 17h
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $4 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $7 17h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 18h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 18h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 38% -5.4%
≤30d 34 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 38% -5.4%
≤90d 34 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 38% -5.4%
all 34 +0.6% -9.0% 79% 38% -5.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover30.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.0% 38% -5.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 24% -14.4%
15% -25.6% 21% -22.7%
20% -32.9% 21% -30.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 87 history records