Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:00:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x325f…4511
sports · 185 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$26,078 -24%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$22,062 · open −$4,016
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22,134
Realized−$22,062
Unrealized−$4,016
Win rate (resolved)16%
Wins / losses95 / 484
Whale WR (big bets)64%
Est. fees paid−$505
Open positions23
Markets (closed)579 / 185
History coverage11d
Avg bet$576
Trades / day294.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit59%
Chart Positions 23 History 579 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24,281
7 days−$24,001
14 days−$22,062
30 days−$22,062
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: United States (-1.5) United States 84¢ 88¢ $3,217 $3,386 +$169 (+5%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 81¢ 99¢ $2,352 $2,873 +$521 (+22%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score Yes 36¢ 100¢ $917 $2,558 +$1,641 (+179%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? No 73¢ 100¢ $1,414 $1,935 +$521 (+37%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 80¢ 100¢ $1,392 $1,744 +$353 (+25%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Over 53¢ 100¢ $775 $1,464 +$688 (+89%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? No 87¢ 38¢ $2,841 $1,224 −$1,617 (-57%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Over 77¢ 100¢ $895 $1,169 +$274 (+31%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 58¢ 76¢ $878 $1,151 +$273 (+31%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 16¢ 62¢ $250 $968 +$718 (+287%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Over 25¢ 38¢ $446 $679 +$233 (+52%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Over 86¢ 100¢ $474 $553 +$79 (+17%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Under 94¢ 94¢ $446 $443 −$3 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 86¢ 100¢ $336 $391 +$55 (+16%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 Under 79¢ 62¢ $434 $341 −$92 (-21%)
Spread: Paraguay (-1.5) United States 98¢ 100¢ $331 $338 +$7 (+2%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) United States 73¢ 24¢ $837 $270 −$566 (-68%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 Over 11¢ 6¢ $371 $226 −$145 (-39%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? Yes 3¢ 11¢ $46 $150 +$104 (+227%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 81¢ 99¢ $50 $61 +$11 (+22%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? No 95¢ 100¢ $48 $50 +$2 (+5%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 5¢ 12¢ $21 $48 +$28 (+135%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? No 81¢ 100¢ $31 $38 +$7 (+23%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 2¢ 1¢ $33 $18 −$15 (-45%)
Will Göztepe SK vs. Çaykur Rizespor end in a draw? No 77¢ 100¢ $9 $12 +$3 (+29%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: St Mirren FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Southampton FC vs. Middlesbrough FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
PSV vs. FC Twente '65: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $53 −$53 -100%
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +56%
Will FC Bayern München vs. VfB Stuttgart end in a draw? Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Spread: CA Paranaense (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Pumas de la UNAM vs. CF Pachuca: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $0 $0 +43%
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $0 $0 +32%
Spread: El Ittihad SC El Iskandary (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
FK Dukla Praha vs. 1. FC Slovácko: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: St Mirren FC (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Aarhus GF vs. Viborg FF: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 +52%
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $0 $0 +163%
Spread: FK Dukla Praha (-1.5) Jun 13 $0 $0 +1%
Will Elche CF vs. Sevilla FC end in a draw? Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli end in a draw? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Al Kholood Saudi Club win on 2026-01-20? Jun 13 $158 −$158 -100%
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-05-30? Jun 13 $263 −$263 -100%
Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 13 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Hannover 96 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $108 −$108 -100%
Spread: SSC Napoli (-2.5) Jun 13 $103 −$103 -100%
Spread: EC Bahia (-1.5) Jun 13 $28 −$28 -100%
Georgia Bulldogs vs. Missouri Tigers: O/U 164.5 Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Lille OSC vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $118 −$118 -100%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-01-24? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Columbus Crew vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $89 −$89 -100%
Real Zaragoza vs. CD Castellón: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club win on 2026-01-25? Jun 13 $85 −$85 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-23? Jun 13 $129 −$129 -100%
Will Ferencvárosi TC win on 2026-01-22? Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Exact Score: Manchester United FC 0 - 0 Liverpool FC? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17? Jun 13 $287 −$287 -100%
Will Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs. FC Ryūkyū end in a draw? Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw? Jun 13 $67 −$67 -100%
Leeds United FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $221 −$221 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 13 $61 −$61 -100%
FC Dallas vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-03-06? Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Lamar Cardinals vs. New Orleans Privateers Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Will NEC win on 2026-01-17? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Gil Vicente FC vs. FC Arouca: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5) Jun 13 $147 −$147 -100%
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs. Lindenwood Lions: O/U 150.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Exact Score: AS Nancy-Lorraine 0 - 3 USL Dunkerque? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Exact Score: EC Bahia 0 - 1 Botafogo FR? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-03-22? Jun 13 $166 −$166 -100%
Eintracht Braunschweig vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: Both Teams to Sc Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% −$1,813
sports 47% +$144
world 0% −$54
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $101 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $2 20m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $20 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 50¢ $1 20m
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 14¢ $1 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 86¢ $43 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 86¢ $5 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 86¢ $43 20m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $6 20m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $21 20m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $101 20m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 49¢ $102 20m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $45 20m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 2¢ $8 21m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $9 21m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $101 21m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 2¢ $3 21m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 50¢ $50 21m
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 3¢ $25 22m
Spread: United States (-2.5) BUY Paraguay 69¢ $101 22m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 39¢ $25 23m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 51¢ $5 23m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 86¢ $41 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 77¢ $49 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 77¢ $49 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 77¢ $49 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score BUY No 77¢ $49 23m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 5.5 BUY Over 3¢ $1 23m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 51¢ $7 23m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-75.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 538 -81.3% -83.0% 12% 7% -32.4%
≤30d 579 -73.0% -75.6% 16% 10% -28.4%
≤90d 579 -73.0% -75.6% 16% 10% -28.4%
all 579 -73.0% -75.6% 16% 10% -28.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover294.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.6% 10% -28.4%
10% ← realistic here -77.9% 6% -35.2%
15% -80.0% 4% -41.5%
20% -82.0% 3% -47.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,134.46 · official $22,041.84 (match) · 3500 history records