Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:26:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3265…d5b8
sports · 392 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$11,560 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$11,815 · open +$256
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$876
Realized−$11,815
Unrealized+$256
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses176 / 214
Whale WR (big bets)56%
Est. fees paid−$177
Open positions4
Markets (closed)390 / 392
History coverage138d
Avg bet$632
Trades / day21.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 4 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$10
7 days−$10
14 days−$10
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Under 41¢ 66¢ $212 $340 +$127 (+60%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Over 39¢ 41¢ $239 $253 +$14 (+6%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Under 49¢ 92¢ $101 $188 +$88 (+87%)
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners Under 72¢ 100¢ $69 $95 +$26 (+38%)
Canucks vs. Kraken Kraken 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner Gentle Mates 31¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bears vs. 49ers Bears 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 Over 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a draw? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Over 23¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners Over 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Blackhawks vs. Wild: O/U 6.5 Under 55¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 Over 13¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury 77¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canucks vs. Kraken Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bears vs. 49ers Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury May 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner May 10 $223 −$35 -16%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner May 08 $174 +$105 +60%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winner May 08 $24 +$38 +158%
Will CD Coquimbo Unido vs. Club Universitario de Deportes end in a dra May 08 $1 −$1 -98%
Avalanche vs. Kings: O/U 6.5 Apr 24 $6 −$6 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Apr 22 $3 +$10 +394%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5) Apr 22 $19 +$1 +5%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Los Angeles Angels Apr 22 $100 +$15 +14%
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Apr 22 $1,680 −$1,531 -91%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22? Apr 22 $420 +$77 +18%
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 2.5 Apr 22 $13 −$13 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians Apr 22 $398 +$3 +1%
Houston Astros vs. Cleveland Guardians Apr 22 $2,812 +$2,092 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CF Universidad de Chile win on 2026-01-30? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will FC Juárez vs. Atlas FC end in a draw? Apr 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will CD Universidad de Concepción win on 2026-03-09? Apr 21 $4 −$4 -100%
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime sho Apr 21 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner Apr 21 $512 +$51 +10%
Will Apple run an Ad during Super Bowl LX? Apr 21 $12 −$12 -100%
Patriots Team Total: O/U 29.5 Apr 21 $22 −$22 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5) Apr 21 $9 −$9 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $49 −$49 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs OG - Game 2 Winner Apr 21 $53 −$3 -6%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-02-01? Apr 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Club Necaxa vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? Apr 21 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-04-08? Apr 21 $5 −$5 -100%
Will CD Universidad de Concepción vs. CD Concepción end in a draw? Apr 21 $10 −$10 -100%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Apr 21 $150 +$98 +66%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $1,227 +$206 +17%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $76 +$23 +31%
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO5) - FISSURE Universe Episode 8 Playo Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Dota 2: Vici Gaming vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage Apr 21 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Apr 21 $54 −$54 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winner Apr 21 $398 +$2,186 +549%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 33 - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $55 −$55 -100%
Will Audax CS Italiano win on 2026-01-30? Apr 21 $20 −$20 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Apr 21 $60 −$60 -100%
Heat vs. Bulls Apr 21 $11 −$11 -100%
Will "MONACO" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show? Apr 21 $11 −$11 -100%
Predators vs. Islanders Apr 21 $13 −$13 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $1,586 +$186 +12%
Valorant: NRG vs Team Liquid - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $1,213 −$138 -11%
Will CA Tucumán win on 2026-03-11? Apr 21 $74 −$74 -100%
Counter-Strike: Tricked vs EYEBALLERS - Map 2 Winner Apr 21 $54 −$37 -68%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$11,125
other 2% −$547
world 0% +$127
tech 0% −$12
crypto 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 32¢ $13 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 35¢ $161 50m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 44¢ $25 51m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $20 55m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $17 56m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Over 67¢ $3 56m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 50¢ $41 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 47¢ $89 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 5.5 Total Corners BUY Under 72¢ $69 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 53¢ $51 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 33¢ $34 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 45¢ $51 1h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Under 34¢ $52 1h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 1¢ $1 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 1¢ $0 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 4.5 Corners BUY Over 1¢ $0 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 23¢ $1 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 23¢ $2 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 23¢ $2 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 23¢ $1 29h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 7.5 Total Corners BUY Over 23¢ $0 29h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 77¢ $24 30d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner SELL K27 96¢ $173 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 31¢ $16 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner BUY K27 59¢ $108 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner SELL Gentle Mates 42¢ $81 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 52¢ $81 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 52¢ $2 33d
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Gentle Mates - Map 2 Winner BUY Gentle Mates 52¢ $17 33d
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner SELL 1win 99¢ $99 35d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 4 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 220 -49.8% -54.6% 24% 20% -31.1%
all 390 -4.9% -13.9% 45% 37% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.9 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 37% -13.8%
10% -22.2% 29% -22.1%
15% ← realistic here -29.7% 23% -29.6%
20% -36.6% 18% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $875.95 · official $909.66 · 3500 history records