Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:21:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.0
score
32 0x3272…f50f crypto 549 markets active 1h ago coverage 138d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$1,347 (+2%) realized +$1,347 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR28%break-even
Win rate84%462W / 87L
Whale WR89%big bets
Drawdown79%max
Avg bet$126per market
Trades / day12.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days+$202
14 days+$188
30 days+$135
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% +$771
other 1% +$437
world 1% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +5.3% -4.7% 97% 24% -5.6%
≤30d 123 +4.5% -5.4% 86% 27% -7.8%
≤90d 278 +2.0% -7.7% 78% 33% -8.4%
all 549 +2.4% -7.3% 84% 28% -7.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.3% 28% -7.9%
10% -16.2% 12% -16.7%
15% -24.3% 11% -24.8%
20% -31.7% 11% -32.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 5% · top 2 9% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
64% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +2% · $-wt +2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 89% (≥$500) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +3% → late +2% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
2.2 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$13 vs −$58 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.24 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

138d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$1,347
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses462 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)89%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)549 / 549
History coverage138d
Avg bet$126
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 549 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 24 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 24 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$21 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 24 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 24 $100 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 23 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$12 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 23 $32 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 23 $105 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 23 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 23 $20 +$3 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 23 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 23 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 23 $90 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 22 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 22 $90 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 22 $45 +$4 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET Jun 22 $76 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 22 $90 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 22 $90 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 22 $100 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 22 $62 +$5 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ET Jun 22 $73 +$6 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 5PM ET Jun 22 $74 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 22 $100 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 21 $50 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 21 $90 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 21, 5AM ET Jun 21 $75 +$3 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 20, 11PM ET Jun 21 $76 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 20 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $150 +$10 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11PM ET Jun 19 $75 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 19 $21 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10PM ET Jun 19 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2PM ET Jun 18 $73 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 18 $69 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 18 $90 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $90 +$20 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 11AM ET Jun 18 $76 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11AM ET Jun 18 $67 +$11 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 18 $90 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $90 +$7 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $100 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $100 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 13h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $100 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $100 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $100 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $100 18h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $32 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $100 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $105 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $100 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $20 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $19 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $90 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $90 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $90 40h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $45 41h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $100 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $90 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $76 42h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $90 45h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $100 45h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 21, 8PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $73 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2145 history records