Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:21:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3275…b8ac
crypto · 775 markets active 2h ago
0.5score
+$3,374 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,429 · open −$55
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,487
Realized+$3,429
Unrealized−$55
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses639 / 134
Whale WR (big bets)87%
Est. fees paid−$148
Open positions2
Markets (closed)773 / 775
History coverage95d
Avg bet$51
Trades / day12.2
Drawdown22%
Kalshi-fit88%
Chart Positions 2 History 773 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,993
7 days+$3,544
14 days+$3,167
30 days+$3,167
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 Over 77¢ 74¢ $1,292 $1,244 −$48 (-4%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 48¢ 46¢ $250 $242 −$8 (-3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $522 +$484 +93%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $566 +$366 +65%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $808 +$409 +51%
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) Jun 11 $102 −$26 -26%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? Jun 11 $104 −$81 -78%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $296 −$90 -30%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $111 −$6 -5%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $461 +$282 +61%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $501 +$21 +4%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $293 +$187 +64%
Spread: England (-1.5) Jun 10 $382 +$18 +5%
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $334 +$58 +17%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $979 +$371 +38%
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $1,156 +$132 +11%
Spread: Argentina (-2.5) Jun 10 $163 +$185 +114%
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) Jun 10 $555 +$257 +46%
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) Jun 10 $302 +$108 +36%
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $102 +$116 +114%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $604 +$175 +29%
Will Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR end in a draw? Jun 09 $51 +$58 +114%
Maghreb AS de Fès vs. AS FAR: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $102 −$59 -58%
Will AS FAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $144 −$46 -32%
Will Azerbaijan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $706 +$266 +38%
Spread: Azerbaijan (-1.5) Jun 09 $223 −$152 -68%
Will Hungary win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $961 +$278 +29%
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Jun 09 $256 −$151 -59%
Will Burkina Faso win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $90 −$74 -82%
Will Chile win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $262 −$241 -92%
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $92 −$81 -89%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $38 +$52 +139%
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? Jun 09 $50 −$12 -24%
Will Tajikistan win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $151 −$110 -73%
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: Both Teams to Score Jun 09 $295 +$225 +76%
Spread: Spain (-1.5) Jun 09 $588 +$335 +57%
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $150 −$137 -91%
Netherlands vs. Uzbekistan: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $581 −$581 -100%
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Northern Ireland? Jun 08 $152 +$121 +80%
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Jun 08 $204 +$269 +132%
Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) Jun 08 $398 +$189 +48%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 08 $339 −$203 -60%
Spread: Ecuador (-1.5) Jun 08 $570 +$261 +46%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $143 −$143 -100%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $102 −$90 -88%
Will Norway win on 2026-06-07? Jun 07 $595 +$144 +24%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Alexander Zverev Jun 07 $480 +$95 +20%
Spread: Norway (-1.5) Jun 07 $503 −$15 -3%
O/U 2.5 Rounds Jun 07 $468 +$129 +28%
Argentina vs. Honduras: Both Teams to Score Jun 07 $369 +$101 +27%
Spread: Brazil (-2.5) Jun 07 $253 +$78 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% −$275
sports 35% +$3,114
other 24% +$541
politics 0% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 78¢ $557 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Over 77¢ $744 2h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $254 2h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $299 12h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 50¢ $223 14h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 67¢ $505 17h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) SELL Mexico 24¢ $76 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 63¢ $303 17h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 10¢ $23 18h
Spread: Mexico (-2.5) BUY Mexico 31¢ $102 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 41¢ $206 18h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 60¢ $566 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 44¢ $104 18h
Mexico leading at halftime? SELL Yes 46¢ $106 18h
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 47¢ $111 18h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $296 22h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 81¢ $181 35h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $270 37h
Bolivia vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score BUY No 53¢ $10 37h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 96¢ $501 38h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 99¢ $480 38h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $101 38h
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 62¢ $192 38h
Spread: England (-1.5) SELL England 91¢ $315 38h
Spread: England (-1.5) SELL England 91¢ $84 38h
Spread: England (-1.5) BUY England 86¢ $382 38h
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score SELL No 90¢ $392 38h
England vs. Costa Rica: Both Teams to Score BUY No 76¢ $334 40h
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) SELL Nigeria 98¢ $332 40h
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) BUY Nigeria 72¢ $979 47h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 54 +7.8% -2.5% 61% 57% +8.1%
≤30d 60 +3.1% -6.7% 58% 55% +5.4%
≤90d 731 -0.7% -10.1% 85% 8% -1.2%
all 773 -2.1% -11.4% 83% 9% -1.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 9% -1.4%
10% -19.9% 7% -10.9%
15% -27.6% 6% -19.5%
20% -34.7% 4% -27.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,486.55 · official $1,486.55 (match) · 1808 history records