trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 2 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -8.5% | -17.2% | 60% | 40% | -22.1% |
| all | 15 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 40% | 27% | -17.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.8% | 27% | -17.0% |
| 10% | -25.7% | 27% | -25.0% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 27% | -32.2% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 20% | -38.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) | Cincinnati Reds | 44¢ | 6¢ | $30 | $4 | −$26 (-87%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Golden Knights | May 27 | $22 | −$21 | -98% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs | May 22 | $15 | −$14 | -99% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | May 14 | $26 | +$1 | +5% |
| Spread: Rockets (-3.5) | May 05 | $14 | +$15 | +105% |
| Spread: Nuggets (-11.5) | Apr 28 | $19 | +$18 | +93% |
| Penguins vs. Flyers | Apr 26 | $13 | +$5 | +38% |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) | Apr 25 | $14 | −$14 | -99% |
| Ducks vs. Oilers | Apr 20 | $36 | −$35 | -98% |
| Warriors vs. Suns | Apr 19 | $15 | +$11 | +73% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027? | Mar 27 | $66 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in | Mar 19 | $67 | −$1 | -1% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026? | Mar 10 | $8 | −$2 | -23% |
| Will Israel strike 9 countries in 2026? | Mar 06 | $69 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 02 | $4 | −$1 | -26% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Feb 27 | $71 | −$1 | -1% |