Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T12:15:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x3281…8bc8 crypto 952 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 1d onlyP/L from Polymarket (history capped)
✗ bot/MM pace (1596 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ on-chain reconstruction ≠ official P&L (longshot/capped history)✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$851 (+0%) realized +$1,129 · open −$278
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate14%135W / 807L
Whale WR29%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$457per market
Trades / day1596.0pace
Kalshi-fit87%portable
Net worth$5,070now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% −$1,320
other 3% −$44
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (1596 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 942 -0.4% -9.9% 14% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 942 -0.4% -9.9% 14% 0% -9.8%
≤90d 942 -0.4% -9.9% 14% 0% -9.8%
all 942 -0.4% -9.9% 14% 0% -9.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1596.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.9% 0% -9.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.5% 0% -18.4%
15% -26.4% 0% -26.3%
20% -33.6% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 29% (≥$500) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
0.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$234 · ×0.02 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$5,070
Realized+$1,129
Unrealized−$278
Win rate (resolved)14%
Wins / losses135 / 807
Whale WR (big bets)29%
Open positions14
Markets (closed)942 / 952
History coverage1d ⚠
Avg bet$457
Trades / day1596.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 14 History 942 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $1,658 $1,707 +$50 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $1,658 $1,608 −$50 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 54¢ $418 $447 +$29 (+7%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 46¢ $418 $388 −$29 (-7%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 80¢ $102 $165 +$63 (+61%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 60¢ $90 $107 +$17 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 40¢ $85 $69 −$16 (-19%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 98¢ $28 $54 +$26 (+95%)
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 95¢ $28 $52 +$25 (+90%)
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 94¢ $28 $52 +$24 (+89%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 86¢ $28 $47 +$20 (+72%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 20¢ $102 $40 −$63 (-61%)
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 69¢ $28 $38 +$11 (+39%)
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 68¢ $28 $38 +$10 (+37%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 62¢ $28 $34 +$7 (+24%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 56¢ $28 $31 +$4 (+13%)
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 51¢ $28 $28 +$1 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 51¢ $28 $28 +$1 (+2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 49¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 49¢ $28 $27 −$1 (-2%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 44¢ $28 $24 −$4 (-13%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 38¢ $28 $21 −$7 (-24%)
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 30¢ $28 $17 −$11 (-39%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Up 50¢ 14¢ $28 $8 −$20 (-72%)
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 50¢ 32¢ $10 $6 −$4 (-37%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 4 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 28 $0 −$4 -8069%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 28 $0 −$7 -13038%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 28 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 28 $0 −$8 -8512%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $3,315 +$16 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $240 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $3,315 +$8 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $240 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $3,315 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $240 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $205 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $835 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $3,315 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 28 $240 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $3,315 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 28 $240 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $55 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 56¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 66¢ $6 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $8 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 2¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,069.91 · official $5,066.52 (match) · 3500 history records