Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:11:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3283…4bd7
crypto · 833 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$23 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses674 / 158
Open positions1
Markets (closed)832 / 833
History coverage29d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day57.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 832 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$14
14 days−$27
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Down 69¢ 56¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET SELL Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Down 81¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 86¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +75%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 479 -4.0% -13.1% 82% 81% -11.7%
≤30d 832 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 75% -11.7%
≤90d 832 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 75% -11.7%
all 832 -3.8% -13.0% 81% 75% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover57.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 75% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 13% -20.1%
15% -28.9% 4% -27.8%
20% -35.9% 2% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.82 · official $0.72 (match) · 1671 history records