Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:38:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x3291…b9f0
other · 255 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$79 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$88 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$61
Realized−$88
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)5%
Wins / losses12 / 242
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions1
Markets (closed)254 / 255
History coverage132d
Avg bet$215
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit65%
Chart Positions 1 History 254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$17
14 days−$25
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? No 99¢ 99¢ $61 $61 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $350 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $511 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $452 −$1 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 13 $305 −$2 -1%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $477 −$1 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $62 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $237 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $136 $0 -0%
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 12 $220 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $217 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $354 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $769 −$1 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $518 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $151 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $277 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $210 −$1 -0%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $259 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $64 $0 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $157 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $499 −$1 -0%
Xi Jinping out by June 30? Jun 09 $607 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $65 −$1 -2%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $457 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $232 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $145 $0 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $785 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 07 $511 −$1 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $519 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $394 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $363 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $458 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 05 $344 −$1 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $294 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $254 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 03 $218 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 03 $68 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $226 $0 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 02 $171 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $247 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $222 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 01 $529 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 31 $387 $0 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? May 31 $254 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $85 $0 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $325 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 31 $70 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 30 $259 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? May 30 $221 −$1 -0%
Will Julian Assange win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $71 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $769 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$37
sports 25% −$20
politics 7% −$6
culture 7% −$7
crypto 7% −$6
economics 6% −$6
world 5% −$5
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $61 1h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $61 1h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $61 2h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 7h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 8h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $61 13h
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $61 15h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $22 23h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 SELL No 98¢ $39 25h
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 BUY No 98¢ $61 26h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $61 29h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $62 30h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $62 32h
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $62 34h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $12 34h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $50 34h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $62 35h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $62 37h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $62 38h
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $62 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $62 2d
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $63 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $63 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $63 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $63 2d
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $63 2d
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $63 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -0.3% -9.8% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 71 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 254 -0.2% -9.7% 5% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $60.76 · official $60.76 (match) · 1339 history records