Wallet analysis

2026-06-24T09:33:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x329c…2485 sports 487 markets active 1h ago coverage 95d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$6,181 (-3%) realized −$6,181 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR1%break-even
Win rate22%108W / 379L
Whale WR17%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$454per market
Trades / day22.3pace
Fees−$5,281est.
Kalshi-fit96%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$56
7 days−$30
14 days−$402
30 days−$1,371
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 96% −$7,198
other 4% −$313
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -1.8% -11.2% 27% 0% -9.8%
≤30d 127 -3.5% -12.7% 23% 0% -11.6%
≤90d 479 -3.0% -12.2% 23% 1% -12.3%
all 487 -3.0% -12.3% 22% 1% -12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover22.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 1% -12.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 0% -21.0%
15% -28.3% 0% -28.6%
20% -35.4% 0% -35.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 14% · top 2 22% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
96% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 17% (≥$598) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -3% → late -3% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
2.0 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$24 · ×0.35 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.1 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

95d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6,181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)22%
Wins / losses108 / 379
Whale WR (big bets)17%
Est. fees paid−$5,281
Open positions0
Markets (closed)487 / 487
History coverage95d
Avg bet$454
Trades / day22.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 487 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score Jun 24 $253 +$6 +2%
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) Jun 24 $448 −$38 -8%
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) Jun 24 $234 −$6 -2%
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) Jun 24 $22 −$1 -3%
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe Jun 23 $316 $0 -0%
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 22 $448 −$17 -4%
Spread: France (-2.5) Jun 22 $966 +$46 +5%
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Jun 22 $322 −$14 -4%
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score Jun 21 $586 −$20 -3%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 21 $782 −$42 -5%
Spread: Germany (-1.5) Jun 20 $1,357 $0 +0%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Jun 20 $178 −$9 -5%
Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score Jun 18 $276 −$4 -2%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 18 $2,622 +$69 +3%
Portugal leading at halftime? Jun 17 $236 +$2 +1%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 17 $1,760 −$60 -3%
Austria vs. Jordan: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $253 −$10 -4%
Dota 2: Team Refuser vs Game Master (BO3) - The International China Cl Jun 16 $8 $0 +3%
France vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $586 $0 -0%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 16 $196 −$6 -3%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 15 $345 −$27 -8%
LoL: Solary vs Galions (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 15 $786 −$11 -1%
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) Jun 15 $288 −$41 -14%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo Jun 15 $322 +$6 +2%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playof Jun 15 $207 $0 -0%
Spread: Spain (-2.5) Jun 15 $1,587 −$60 -4%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $305 −$16 -5%
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 14 $319 −$17 -5%
Game Handicap: LY (-1.5) vs Team Liquid (+1.5) Jun 14 $213 −$17 -8%
Germany vs. Curaçao: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $391 +$2 +0%
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $356 +$12 +3%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $184 −$12 -6%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 13 $437 −$12 -3%
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Score in First Half Jun 13 $72 $0 -0%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 13 $172 −$26 -15%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $264 −$10 -4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $453 +$5 +1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 11 $420 −$21 -5%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 11 $201 −$15 -8%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 11 $144 −$17 -12%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $472 −$17 -4%
LoL: Misa Esports vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group Jun 10 $393 −$10 -2%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $477 −$1 -0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Partizan Sangal (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 10 $483 −$14 -3%
Valorant: Global Esports vs FULL SENSE (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 09 $253 +$1 +1%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $4 $0 -3%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $322 +$6 +2%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $736 +$12 +2%
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Anyone's Legend (+2.5) Jun 08 $402 −$15 -4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score SELL No 45¢ $259 1h
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) SELL TEAM VISION 72¢ $50 1h
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) SELL TEAM VISION 72¢ $361 1h
Game Handicap: VSN (-1.5) vs Power Rangers (+1.5) BUY TEAM VISION 78¢ $448 4h
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) SELL 4ikibamboni 66¢ $228 4h
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score BUY No 44¢ $253 4h
Game Handicap: L1GA (-1.5) vs 4ikibamboni (+1.5) BUY 4ikibamboni 67¢ $234 5h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) SELL Inner Circle 59¢ $22 7h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $2 8h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $2 8h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $6 8h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $2 8h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $6 8h
Game Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs Inner Circle (+1.5) BUY Inner Circle 60¢ $6 8h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Natus Vincere 55¢ $150 32h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Natus Vincere 55¢ $13 35h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Natus Vincere 55¢ $108 36h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe SELL Natus Vincere 55¢ $45 36h
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - The International Europe BUY Natus Vincere 55¢ $316 38h
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second Half SELL No 75¢ $431 46h
Spread: France (-2.5) SELL Iraq 44¢ $1,012 2d
Spread: France (-2.5) BUY Iraq 42¢ $966 2d
Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 78¢ $448 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed SELL OG 52¢ $53 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed SELL OG 54¢ $68 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed SELL OG 54¢ $79 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed SELL OG 54¢ $107 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed BUY OG 56¢ $313 2d
Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed BUY OG 56¢ $9 2d
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score SELL No 50¢ $566 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2287 history records