trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -27.2% | -34.1% | 22% | 22% | +2.5% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -63.6% | -67.1% | 11% | 11% | -58.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -63.6% | -67.1% | 11% | 11% | -58.4% |
| all | 19 | -63.6% | -67.1% | 11% | 11% | -58.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -67.1% | 11% | -58.4% |
| 10% | -70.2% | 11% | -62.4% |
| 15% | -73.1% | 11% | -66.0% |
| 20% | -75.7% | 11% | -69.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $70 | $82 | +$12 (+17%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Yes | 6¢ | 6¢ | $41 | $43 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.3T by June 30? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $41 | $33 | −$8 (-19%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.45T by June 30? | Yes | 5¢ | 5¢ | $5 | $5 | −$0 (-6%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.4T by June 30? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $3 | $3 | −$0 (-7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | Jun 19 | $52 | +$91 | +177% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Jun 18 | $10 | −$7 | -69% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ju | Jun 18 | $10 | −$2 | -18% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 19? | Jun 18 | $15 | −$5 | -34% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meet | Jun 18 | $31 | +$40 | +126% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? | Jun 15 | $12 | −$11 | -97% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | Jun 15 | $13 | −$10 | -78% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 13 | $60 | −$60 | -100% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 3 | Jun 13 | $10 | −$9 | -83% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June? | Jun 12 | $24 | −$15 | -63% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $6 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet | Jun 12 | $110 | −$105 | -95% |
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T? | Jun 10 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 8? | Jun 08 | $129 | −$60 | -46% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 9? | Jun 08 | $115 | −$115 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 10? | Jun 05 | $4 | −$4 | -94% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,600 on June 6? | Jun 05 | $12 | −$12 | -96% |