Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T18:54:48+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.5
score
32 0x32ad…41b5 crypto 5 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
RISKYcopy with care crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
✗ too few resolved markets (<12) to judge✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$1 (-0%) realized −$1 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -66% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -69% what you keep after slip
Net edge-69%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 5L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$220per market
Trades / day1.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 24d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
world 88% −$1
crypto 12% −$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-69.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -82.4% -84.0% 0% 0% -94.9%
≤30d 5 -65.9% -69.2% 0% 0% -19.5%
≤90d 5 -65.9% -69.2% 0% 0% -19.5%
all 5 -65.9% -69.2% 0% 0% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -69.2% 0% -19.5%
10% -72.1% 0% -27.2%
15% -74.8% 0% -34.3%
20% -77.3% 0% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% too few recent
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -66% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early —% → late —% no data
Add-ons / DCA
3.6 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
— vs −$24 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 5
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage24d
Avg bet$220
Trades / day1.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 5 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$3 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 20 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 20 $100 −$97 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 20 $15 −$10 -64%
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? May 27 $963 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $100 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET SELL Down 100¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 1h
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $73 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $73 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $73 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $74 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? BUY No 100¢ $75 23d
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? SELL No 100¢ $75 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 33 history records