Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:34:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32b4…8b21
sports · 108 markets active 12h ago
0.0score
−$235,018 -63%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$222,698 · open −$6,457
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$33,983
Realized−$222,698
Unrealized−$6,457
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses153 / 386
Whale WR (big bets)21%
Est. fees paid−$4,609
Open positions30
Markets (closed)539 / 108
Avg bet$3,465
Trades / day2502.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 30 History 539 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$222,698
7 days−$222,698
14 days−$222,698
30 days−$222,698
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 57¢ 40¢ $12,020 $8,539 −$3,480 (-29%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 59¢ 68¢ $4,020 $4,596 +$577 (+14%)
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Sinja Kraus 43¢ 39¢ $4,589 $4,120 −$469 (-10%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Tatjana Maria 18¢ 18¢ $3,734 $3,572 −$162 (-4%)
Ilkley: Alicia Dudeney vs Ashlyn Krueger Ashlyn Krueger 79¢ 79¢ $2,354 $2,350 −$5 (-0%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Kamilla Rakhimova 46¢ 46¢ $1,953 $1,934 −$19 (-1%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 88¢ 88¢ $1,812 $1,797 −$15 (-1%)
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Mary Stoiana 47¢ 74¢ $861 $1,356 +$495 (+57%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 52¢ 44¢ $1,381 $1,156 −$225 (-16%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 52¢ 38¢ $1,575 $1,151 −$424 (-27%)
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 34¢ 38¢ $635 $701 +$65 (+10%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 69¢ 68¢ $472 $470 −$2 (-0%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 51¢ 52¢ $398 $406 +$8 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jaqueline Cristian 34¢ 11¢ $1,161 $376 −$785 (-68%)
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Darja Vidmanova 53¢ 58¢ $282 $309 +$26 (+9%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 49¢ 50¢ $273 $278 +$5 (+2%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Mark Lajal 64¢ 64¢ $191 $190 −$1 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins St. Louis Cardinals 45¢ 44¢ $139 $134 −$5 (-3%)
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren August Holmgren 40¢ 40¢ $128 $128 +$1 (+1%)
Ilkley: Elizabeth Mandlik vs Dalma Galfi Dalma Galfi 71¢ 72¢ $121 $124 +$3 (+2%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Belinda Bencic 84¢ 50¢ $206 $122 −$83 (-40%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 77¢ 76¢ $80 $79 −$2 (-2%)
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Viktorija Golubic 62¢ 63¢ $59 $60 +$1 (+2%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jack Pinnington Jones 69¢ 69¢ $15 $15 −$0 (-0%)
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Lanlana Tararudee 53¢ 55¢ $10 $11 +$0 (+3%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $206 −$83 -40%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 12 $205 +$4,275 +2087%
Roland Garros WTA: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Leolia Jeanjean Jun 12 $109 +$302 +276%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $3,101 −$987 -32%
Cervia: Juan Martin vs Michele Ribecai Jun 12 $167 −$167 -100%
Geneva Open: Raphael Collignon vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $881 −$881 -100%
GP SAR La Princesse Lalla Meryem: Jil Teichmann vs Petra Marcinko Jun 12 $216 +$179 +83%
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Jun 12 $958 −$937 -98%
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Jun 12 $18 −$15 -81%
Prostejov: Alex Molcan vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $2,600 −$2,253 -87%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jun 12 $3,681 −$3,627 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Jun 12 $204 −$204 -100%
Birmingham: James McCabe vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $248 +$59 +24%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Jun 12 $410 −$294 -72%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Alex Molcan vs Felix Gill Jun 12 $1,325 −$1,658 -125%
Roland Garros WTA: Viktorija Golubic vs Alycia Parks Jun 12 $1,529 −$1,230 -80%
Birmingham: Greet Minnen vs Alina Charaeva Jun 12 $1,586 −$1,643 -104%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 12 $447 −$447 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Jessica Pieri Jun 12 $166 −$152 -91%
Cordoba: Juan Bautista Torres vs Miguel Tobon Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Kosice: Mathys Erhard vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 12 $371 −$384 -103%
Makarska: Lucie Havlickova vs Yasmine Kabbaj Jun 12 $191 −$180 -94%
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Linda Klimovicova Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Elise Mertens Jun 12 $366 −$128 -35%
Foggia: Varvara Lepchenko vs Iryna Shymanovich Jun 12 $898 −$1,161 -129%
Hamburg European Open: Ugo Humbert vs Karen Khachanov Jun 12 $437 −$409 -94%
Makarska: Noma Noha Akugue vs Sara Sorribes Tormo Jun 12 $149 +$487 +327%
Cincinnati Reds vs. St. Louis Cardinals Jun 12 $1,431 −$1,431 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $181 −$181 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Polina Kudermetova Jun 12 $294 −$39 -13%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April? Jun 12 $915 −$5,913 -646%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Jun 12 $841 −$337 -40%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $62 −$51 -81%
Bratislava: Martin Krumich vs Maxim Mrva Jun 12 $59 −$59 -100%
Little Rock: Enzo Aguiard vs Andre Ilagan Jun 12 $531 −$476 -90%
Stuttgart Open: Tom Gentzsch vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 12 $1,552 −$491 -32%
Heilbronn: Pavel Kotov vs Guy Den Ouden Jun 12 $426 −$423 -99%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 12 $888 −$888 -100%
Bordeaux: Raphael Collignon vs Alexander Shevchenko Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Geneva Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $691 −$99 -14%
Chisinau: Lorenzo Giustino vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $95 +$74 +78%
Roland Garros ATP: Titouan Droguet vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $662 +$868 +131%
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Maks Kasnikowski Jun 12 $386 −$386 -100%
Hamburg European Open: Luciano Darderi vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 12 $201 +$494 +246%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $7,372 −$7,778 -106%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 12 $1,735 −$1,735 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alejandro Tabilo vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $215 +$349 +162%
Cervia: Andrea Guerrieri vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Luca Nardi Jun 12 $19 −$9 -49%
Roland Garros WTA: Francesca Jones vs Marie Bouzkova Jun 12 $183 +$632 +346%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% +$21,914
other 1% −$205
crypto 1% +$540
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $12 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $17 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $397 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $5 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 6¢ $143 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $15 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 7¢ $8 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $1 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $5 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $10 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $4 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $100 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $3 11h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 8¢ $14 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+60.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 539 +77.7% +60.8% 28% 27% -37.4%
≤30d 539 +77.7% +60.8% 28% 27% -37.4%
≤90d 539 +77.7% +60.8% 28% 27% -37.4%
all 539 +77.7% +60.8% 28% 27% -37.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2502.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +60.8% 27% -37.4%
10% +45.4% 24% -43.4%
15% ← realistic here +31.4% 23% -48.9%
20% +18.5% 21% -53.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33,982.83 · official $34,697.90 · 3500 history records