Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:50:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32cc…68b3
sports · 784 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$3,732 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,844 · open −$112
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$568
Realized+$3,844
Unrealized−$112
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses398 / 368
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$788
Open positions32
Markets (closed)766 / 784
History coverage13d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day185.4
Drawdown64%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 32 History 766 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days−$79
14 days+$3,844
30 days+$3,844
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 75¢ 81¢ $351 $380 +$29 (+8%)
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? Yes 37¢ 80¢ $13 $29 +$15 (+115%)
Roland Garros WTA: Panna Udvardy vs Viktorija Golubic Viktorija Golubic 60¢ 100¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+67%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $17 $16 −$1 (-3%)
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? Yes 51¢ 52¢ $16 $16 +$1 (+4%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? No 47¢ 100¢ $7 $14 +$8 (+111%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Over 50¢ 48¢ $14 $13 −$0 (-3%)
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? Yes 64¢ 66¢ $12 $13 +$0 (+4%)
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lions LG Twins 54¢ 53¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? No 75¢ 74¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? No 79¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+27%)
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Curaçao 50¢ 52¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+5%)
Notts County FC vs. Salford City FC: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+26%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? No 74¢ 70¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-5%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Will England win on 2026-06-17? No 44¢ 44¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-1%)
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? Yes 71¢ 74¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 78¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Over 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? No 52¢ 55¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? No 76¢ 76¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? Yes 19¢ 18¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 Under 79¢ 81¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+3%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Over 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Spread: United States (-1.5) Paraguay 78¢ 78¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $2 +$1 +70%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $4 +$2 +55%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $8 +$3 +44%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $2 +$2 +65%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$4 +83%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $3 +$4 +165%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $7 −$5 -70%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $4 +$2 +57%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1 +$2 +140%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $4 +$1 +26%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $1 +$1 +101%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $3 +$2 +75%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $2 +$1 +65%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $11 +$3 +31%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $27 −$21 -78%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $3 +$4 +129%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $20 +$5 +28%
Spread: Dallas Wings (-4.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Atlanta Dream (-1.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $165 −$165 -100%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $4 +$3 +62%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 13.5 Jun 11 $3 +$1 +27%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$3 +146%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $118 +$72 +61%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $2 +$1 +83%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $6 +$8 +138%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $3 +$9 +262%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $11 +$6 +60%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7 +$3 +48%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $68 +$61 +90%
Spread: Knicks (-1.5) Jun 11 $72 +$73 +101%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-2.5) Jun 11 $7 +$6 +86%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $8 +$2 +29%
Spread: Portugal (-1.5) Jun 10 $4 −$4 -100%
Ilkley: Emerson Jones vs Dalma Galfi Jun 10 $9 +$4 +50%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 93% +$2,805
other 7% +$899
world 0% +$26
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $5 30m
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $2 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 43¢ $11 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $14 2h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 50¢ $2 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $16 2h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $5 2h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 64¢ $4 2h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 72¢ $1 4h
Spread: United States (-1.5) BUY Paraguay 78¢ $1 4h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 60¢ $2 5h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $6 5h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 68¢ $6 6h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 60¢ $2 6h
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery BUY Robin Montgomery 37¢ $3 7h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 54¢ $2 7h
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Paper Rex 54¢ $4 7h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 22¢ $1 8h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Emma Raducanu 61¢ $1 8h
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 23¢ $6 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $2 9h
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 78¢ $1 9h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 41¢ $1 9h
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 39¢ $2 9h
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic BUY Nuno Borges 49¢ $4 9h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 49¢ $1 10h
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 76¢ $2 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $50 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-3.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 54% 54% -11.9%
≤30d 766 +6.9% -3.3% 52% 50% -2.7%
≤90d 766 +6.9% -3.3% 52% 50% -2.7%
all 766 +6.9% -3.3% 52% 50% -2.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover185.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.3% 50% -2.7%
10% ← realistic here -12.5% 47% -12.0%
15% -21.0% 38% -20.5%
20% -28.7% 31% -28.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $567.61 · official $567.61 (match) · 3500 history records