Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:50:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32d3…92a9
other · 240 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$73 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)4%
Wins / losses9 / 231
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)240 / 240
History coverage124d
Avg bet$199
Trades / day10.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit60%
Chart Positions 0 History 240 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$22
14 days−$33
30 days−$42
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $111 $0 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 14 $397 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 14 $98 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 14 $45 $0 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $197 $0 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 13 $223 −$1 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $291 $0 +0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 13 $175 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $267 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $770 −$1 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $325 −$1 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $46 $0 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $151 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 12 $518 −$1 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $479 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $291 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 12 $321 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $235 −$1 -0%
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $222 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $158 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $381 −$5 -1%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $495 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $190 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $245 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $260 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $531 −$1 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 09 $48 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $315 −$1 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $465 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 08 $362 −$1 -0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 08 $215 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $70 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 08 $329 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $103 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $489 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $176 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $625 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $329 $0 -0%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $202 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $289 −$1 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 06 $311 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Jun 06 $578 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 05 $388 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 05 $187 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 05 $342 $0 +0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $175 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $355 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 04 $36 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 04 $492 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 04 $149 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$39
sports 21% −$16
crypto 8% −$5
economics 6% −$5
politics 6% −$4
culture 6% −$9
world 4% −$3
tech 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 99¢ $45 1h
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 99¢ $45 3h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $45 4h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $45 5h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $45 7h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $45 9h
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 100¢ $45 13h
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 100¢ $45 15h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $45 16h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $46 17h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $46 22h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $46 24h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $46 25h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $46 26h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 98¢ $46 31h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 98¢ $46 33h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $46 34h
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $46 36h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $46 37h
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $46 39h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $46 39h
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $46 40h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $46 43h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $46 44h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $46 46h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $46 47h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 99¢ $46 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $46 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $21 2d
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $21 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 35 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 80 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 188 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 240 -0.2% -9.7% 4% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1334 history records