Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32e4…beed
crypto · 76 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$4,294 +34%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,297 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$144
Realized+$4,297
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses349 / 223
Open positions1
Markets (closed)572 / 76
Avg bet$168
Trades / day3425.0
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 572 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4,297
7 days+$4,297
14 days+$4,297
30 days+$4,297
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 35¢ 100¢ $24 $70 +$46 (+189%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 69¢ 74¢ $48 $52 +$4 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 30¢ 26¢ $19 $17 −$3 (-15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 26¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$71 +1437%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$116 +33908%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +13411%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$34 -5383%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$11 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$60 +168845%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$77 -15541%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$19 +8779%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$29 +9357%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$26 +17273%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$53 +27929%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -600%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$84 -8814%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$52 -170%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$71 +21652%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$15 -9392%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$3 +1986%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +6851%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$9 -5332%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$20 +8090%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -6344%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$5 +11239%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$60 +63476%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$20 +3986%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1544%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$42 +18589%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$12 -6929%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$13 +12408%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +11677%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$32 -1990%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1313%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$26 +11431%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$7 +21377%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$111 +57628%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$15 +5939%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$11 +8919%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -2104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$26 +2653%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$6 -1272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$85 +1000%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$15 +10582%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 +$6 +5168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$8 +2923%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$19 +36561%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$57 +67573%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$35
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $7 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $8 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)+856.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 572 +957.4% +856.7% 61% 55% -10.7%
≤30d 572 +957.4% +856.7% 61% 55% -10.7%
≤90d 572 +957.4% +856.7% 61% 55% -10.7%
all 572 +957.4% +856.7% 61% 55% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3425.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +856.7% 55% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here +765.1% 55% -19.3%
15% +681.5% 55% -27.1%
20% +604.9% 55% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $143.72 · official $144.12 (match) · 3500 history records