Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:58:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32ea…066b
crypto · 17 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$367 -90%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$367 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$367
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses7 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)17 / 17
History coverage158d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day0.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 17 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will the US strike Iran next? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? No 16¢ 0¢ $319 $0 −$319 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? No 11¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$1 -15%
Will the US strike Iran next? Jan 10 $17 −$17 -100%
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? Jan 09 $319 −$319 -100%
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? Jan 07 $5 −$5 -100%
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? Jan 07 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 78% −$319
crypto 12% −$6
world 5% −$22
economics 5% −$20
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 26¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET SELL Up 24¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-41.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -14.9% -23.0% 54% 54% -21.4%
≤30d 13 -14.9% -23.0% 54% 54% -21.4%
≤90d 13 -14.9% -23.0% 54% 54% -21.4%
all 17 -34.9% -41.1% 41% 41% -91.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.4 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -41.1% 41% -91.4%
10% -46.8% 29% -92.3%
15% -51.9% 18% -93.0%
20% -56.6% 6% -93.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 58 history records