Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:12:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32eb…ded0
sports · 42 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21,976 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,176 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$22
Realized−$12,176
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)38%
Wins / losses24 / 40
Whale WR (big bets)81%
Est. fees paid−$4,490
Open positions0
Markets (closed)64 / 42
History coverage14d
Avg bet$4,675
Trades / day250.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 64 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$14,021
7 days−$12,287
14 days−$12,176
30 days−$12,176
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 95¢ 100¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+5%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner LYON 54¢ 100¢ $5 $9 +$4 (+85%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Bilibili Gaming 76¢ 100¢ $2 $2 +$1 (+32%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 1 Winner Cloud9 62¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 22¢ $299 $0 −$299 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 19¢ $798 $0 −$798 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner T1 $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $1,989 $0 −$1,989 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jakub Mensik 16¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BNK FEARX 25¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Maja Chwalinska $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 87¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 66¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 38¢ $1,146 $0 −$1,146 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas 76¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Team WE $197 $0 −$197 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 12¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 35¢ $106 $0 −$106 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 71¢ $3,000 $0 −$3,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Ultra Prime $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Team WE $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 59¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Ninjas in Pyjamas $125 $0 −$125 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $49 +$490 +993%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $27 −$109 -402%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $299 −$682 -228%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,989 −$1,975 -99%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $100 −$100 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $1,000 −$1,000 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1,146 −$2,121 -185%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,500 −$1,500 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $197 −$171 -87%
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $3,000 −$3,000 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $10 −$246 -2430%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $45 −$100 -224%
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $125 −$503 -402%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Jun 14 $39 −$132 -342%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $200 −$200 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $620 −$126 -20%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $2,122 −$2,261 -106%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $58 +$1 +1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Jun 14 $4,336 −$43 -1%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $10,492 +$429 +4%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $5,981 +$1,859 +31%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $5,025 −$317 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $9,728 −$2,356 -24%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $15,444 +$551 +4%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2,268 −$958 -42%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $6,359 +$628 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $4,859 −$759 -16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3,859 +$1,236 +32%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $5,374 +$1,833 +34%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $357 −$231 -65%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $4,352 −$345 -8%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $5,553 +$399 +7%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $11,370 +$387 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Mirra Andreeva Jun 06 $123 −$120 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $8,782 +$233 +3%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $7,027 −$900 -13%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $6,427 +$686 +11%
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev Jun 05 $154 −$150 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $2,974 −$1,224 -41%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $5,841 −$757 -13%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $7,036 +$180 +3%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinska Jun 04 $607 −$63 -10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$1,637
crypto 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 99¢ $284 2m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 90¢ $7 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 86¢ $111 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 86¢ $6 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 86¢ $123 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $237 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $807 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $32 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 19¢ $36 5m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 69¢ $606 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $25 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 60¢ $257 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 48¢ $10 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 48¢ $5 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $14 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 51¢ $102 6m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $121 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $1 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $62 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 64¢ $58 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 65¢ $156 11m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $43 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $0 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $88 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $3 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $14 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $3 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 68¢ $14 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 69¢ $262 12m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL Gen.G 69¢ $2 12m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)-31.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -28.9% -35.7% 28% 13% -18.3%
≤30d 64 -24.1% -31.3% 38% 16% -12.7%
≤90d 64 -24.1% -31.3% 38% 16% -12.7%
all 64 -24.1% -31.3% 38% 16% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover250.3 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.3% 16% -12.7%
10% -37.9% 11% -21.1%
15% ← realistic here -43.9% 5% -28.7%
20% -49.4% 5% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.03 · official $22.03 (match) · 3500 history records