Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:10:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32ed…8ec3
crypto · 528 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$70 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$58 · open +$43
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$540
Realized+$58
Unrealized+$43
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses221 / 295
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions12
Markets (closed)516 / 528
History coverage1d
Avg bet$87
Trades / day2816.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit89%
Chart Positions 12 History 516 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$58
7 days+$58
14 days+$58
30 days+$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 73¢ 74¢ $120 $121 +$2 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 39¢ 42¢ $78 $83 +$5 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 13? Down 34¢ 40¢ $70 $82 +$12 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 79¢ 77¢ $83 $81 −$3 (-3%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 26¢ 41¢ $39 $61 +$22 (+58%)
Dogecoin Up or Down on June 13? Down 41¢ 44¢ $49 $53 +$5 (+9%)
Solana Up or Down on June 13? Down 38¢ 50¢ $27 $35 +$8 (+29%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 26¢ 25¢ $19 $18 −$1 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Down 26¢ 26¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 75¢ 75¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Up 71¢ 72¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Up 28¢ 10¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-62%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-97%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $27 −$12 -45%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET Jun 12 $53 −$3 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$4 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $96 −$9 -10%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12PM ET Jun 12 $62 −$16 -26%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$14 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $261 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $296 +$25 +8%
XRP Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $336 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $537 −$237 -44%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$1 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $498 +$333 +67%
BNB Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $122 +$31 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $81 +$8 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$6 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $380 +$16 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$67 +1776%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1,719 −$311 -18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $85 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +155%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $216 −$16 -8%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $242 −$92 -38%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$1 -7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $194 −$13 -6%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $27 +$23 +85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $117 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +122%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$25 +32%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $97 +$3 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $94 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$26 +127%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$135
other 3% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $67 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 10¢ $5 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $39 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $38 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 4¢ $0 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $40 17m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $14 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 22m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $13 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $3 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 29m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $15 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $12 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $25 32m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $4 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $7 36m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 40m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $42 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $38 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $28 44m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $7 47m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $35 55m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 516 +2.0% -7.7% 43% 34% -9.4%
≤30d 516 +2.0% -7.7% 43% 34% -9.4%
≤90d 516 +2.0% -7.7% 43% 34% -9.4%
all 516 +2.0% -7.7% 43% 34% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2816.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 34% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 26% -18.1%
15% -24.6% 20% -26.0%
20% -32.0% 16% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $540.08 · official $546.16 · 3500 history records