Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T01:53:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
32 0x32f8…518a crypto 122 markets active 2h ago coverage 2d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (88 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 2d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$37 (+7%) realized +$37 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +14% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate35%43W / 79L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day87.6pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 2d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$82
other 3% −$18
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (88 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)+3.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 +14.4% +3.5% 35% 27% +2.2%
≤30d 122 +14.4% +3.5% 35% 27% +2.2%
≤90d 122 +14.4% +3.5% 35% 27% +2.2%
all 122 +14.4% +3.5% 35% 27% +2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover87.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.5% 27% +2.2%
10% ← realistic here -6.4% 25% -7.5%
15% -15.5% 24% -16.5%
20% -23.8% 21% -24.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 22% · top 2 42% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +13% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
23% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +14% · $-wt +13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +37% → late -8% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$3 · ×2.41 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.31 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

2d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses43 / 79
Open positions0
Markets (closed)122 / 122
History coverage2d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day87.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 122 Trades
no open positions (71 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 19 $2 +$14 +649%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 18 $28 +$58 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 18 $83 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$9 +168%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 18 $26 −$5 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 18 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 18 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 18 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$9 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$10 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 18 $5 +$2 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$5 +49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 18 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 18 $32 +$56 +177%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 18 $10 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 18 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -94%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $86 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 74¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $26 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $31 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $12 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET SELL Down 27¢ $14 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 63¢ $24 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $21 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 215 history records