Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:00:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

32
0x32fa…f7bf
crypto · 1736 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$10,347 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10,347 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$10,347
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses686 / 714
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1400 / 1736
History coverage28d
Avg bet$37
Trades / day103.0
Drawdown7%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1400 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$631
7 days+$1,214
14 days+$6,173
30 days+$10,347
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $66 $0 −$66 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $68 $0 −$68 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $60 −$60 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $43 +$3 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$38 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$38 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$47 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$15 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $41 +$59 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $73 +$27 +37%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$49 +96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$19 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $24 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$31 +45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$20 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $71 −$70 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$64 +179%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$37 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $67 +$33 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$72 +251%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$44 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $53 +$47 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$66 +192%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$89 +841%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $73 +$27 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $32 +$7 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$57 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$24 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 11 $42 −$40 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $43 +$57 +134%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 11 $9 −$8 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $44 +$56 +129%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 11 $36 −$34 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $59 −$57 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $55 +$45 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$30 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $37 +$63 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $40 −$38 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $51 +$49 +98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $25 −$24 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $39 −$37 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $29 +$71 +244%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $61 −$61 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $21 +$12 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $50 +$50 +101%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $53 +$47 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $18 −$17 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$11 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 11 $66 −$64 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$10,426
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 75¢ $44 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $13 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $19 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $62 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $62 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 16¢ $17 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $53 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 15¢ $16 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $44 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $27 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 40¢ $14 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $25 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $14 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $16 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $30 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $20 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $47 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $26 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)+13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 142 +44.3% +30.6% 51% 49% +10.0%
≤30d 1400 +25.5% +13.6% 49% 47% +8.3%
≤90d 1400 +25.5% +13.6% 49% 47% +8.3%
all 1400 +25.5% +13.6% 49% 47% +8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover103.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to10%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +13.6% 47% +8.3%
10% ← realistic here +2.7% 46% -2.0%
15% -7.2% 44% -11.5%
20% -16.3% 40% -20.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records