Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T20:50:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3301…b4b6
crypto · 69 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$172 -45%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$183 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$183
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses16 / 53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)69 / 69
History coverage236d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day0.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Yes 15¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 9AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Juventus FC end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 5, 6PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2025-10-21? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2025-11-04? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 9AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2025-10-21? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Will SSC Napoli win on 2025-10-21? Yes 39¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 04 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 03 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$7 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 03 $7 +$6 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 03 $3 −$2 -65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 03 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 03 $6 −$4 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 03 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $4 −$3 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 03 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 03 $9 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 03 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$2 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$8 +334%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 03 $1 +$4 +450%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 03 $3 +$4 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 03 $5 +$3 +53%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $3 +$17 +560%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw? Jan 28 $15 +$1 +7%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $15 −$15 -100%
Will PSV win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-01-28? Jan 28 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Manchester City FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw? Jan 28 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Arsenal FC vs. Qairat FK end in a draw? Jan 28 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-25? Jan 25 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 10AM ET Jan 21 $15 −$5 -34%
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-17? Jan 17 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 7PM ET Jan 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 47% −$36
other 44% −$136
sports 9% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Up 92¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET SELL Down 6¢ $0 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 59¢ $1 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 94¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 28¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET SELL Down 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET SELL Down 11¢ $0 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 10d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $2 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +22%
net ROI/market (all)-36.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 -21.6% -29.1% 33% 33% -18.1%
≤30d 37 -20.8% -28.3% 30% 27% -25.6%
≤90d 37 -20.8% -28.3% 30% 27% -25.6%
all 69 -29.4% -36.1% 23% 22% -56.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -36.1% 22% -56.3%
10% -42.2% 19% -60.5%
15% -47.8% 17% -64.3%
20% -52.9% 16% -67.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 165 history records