Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:54:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3308…f04b
sports · 299 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$4,554 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,967 · open −$432
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,487
Realized+$4,967
Unrealized−$432
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses137 / 152
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$982
Open positions10
Markets (closed)289 / 299
Avg bet$302
Trades / day267.8
Drawdown73%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 289 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6,339
7 days+$6,362
14 days+$4,967
30 days+$4,967
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Elena Rybakina 84¢ 58¢ $1,241 $858 −$382 (-31%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 56¢ 56¢ $287 $290 +$3 (+1%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 44¢ 40¢ $201 $186 −$16 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 93¢ 92¢ $54 $54 −$0 (-1%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Oriol Roca Batalla 43¢ 44¢ $34 $34 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Daniil Medvedev 95¢ 87¢ $28 $26 −$2 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Marie Bouzkova 42¢ 22¢ $43 $22 −$21 (-49%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 64¢ 80¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+25%)
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Dusan Lajovic 63¢ 56¢ $4 $4 −$0 (-10%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Caty McNally 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 48¢ 32¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-34%)
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Solana Sierra 17¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Martin Landaluce 54¢ 0¢ $494 $0 −$494 (-100%)
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Arthur Rinderknech 30¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Tallon Griekspoor 9¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Rinky Hijikata 24¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Julia Grabher 12¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Panna Udvardy 26¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Juan Estevez 34¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Marco Trungelliti 62¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Mia Pohankova 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $18 +$2 +8%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $98 +$21 +21%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $82 −$28 -34%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $20 −$19 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $499 −$494 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $390 +$643 +165%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $100 −$3 -3%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $47 +$13 +28%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $249 +$43 +17%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $80 −$5 -6%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $188 −$39 -20%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $301 −$74 -25%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $50 −$49 -98%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $190 +$36 +19%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $2 −$1 -97%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Jonas Forejtek Jun 11 $15 +$12 +78%
Spread: Spurs (-16.5) Jun 11 $152 +$11 +7%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 11 $74 −$25 -34%
Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 11 $45 −$2 -3%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 11 $38 +$17 +44%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 11 $15 +$11 +75%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 11 $121 −$17 -14%
Spread: Spurs (-15.5) Jun 11 $39 −$7 -18%
Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto Jun 11 $159 +$3 +2%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Anna Blinkova Jun 11 $79 −$5 -7%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 11 $157 −$5 -3%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Pavel Kotov Jun 11 $102 −$22 -22%
Spread: Knicks (-2.5) Jun 11 $79 −$5 -6%
Spread: Knicks (-10.5) Jun 11 $19 +$2 +9%
Spread: Knicks (-13.5) Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-6.5) Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 215.5 Jun 11 $44 −$5 -12%
Spread: Knicks (-9.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Ilkley: Kayla Day vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-9.5) Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Michael Zheng Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-10.5) Jun 11 $60 −$22 -36%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 Jun 11 $6 −$6 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-13.5) Jun 11 $43 −$3 -8%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 206.5 Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 201.5 Jun 11 $46 +$1 +3%
Spread: Knicks (-11.5) Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 202.5 Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 218.5 Jun 11 $117 −$36 -31%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 11 $23 −$23 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $40 −$16 -40%
Modena: Noemi Basiletti vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $11 −$11 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$4,535
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic BUY Marie Bouzkova 18¢ $7 10m
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 93¢ $54 17m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Tatjana Maria 20¢ $5 39m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 85¢ $28 45m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 94¢ $20 46m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 88¢ $26 51m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 14¢ $8 51m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 12¢ $6 51m
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 90¢ $21 57m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $181 59m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $422 59m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $422 59m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 84¢ $62 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 88¢ $46 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 15¢ $4 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 53¢ $41 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $23 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $57 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $22 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $47 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 29¢ $9 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 57¢ $89 1h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 56¢ $12 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 29¢ $14 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Caty McNally 74¢ $21 1h
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra BUY Solana Sierra 17¢ $9 1h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 82¢ $40 3h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt BUY Nicolas Kicker 92¢ $18 10h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 24¢ $5 12h
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez BUY Juan Estevez 24¢ $9 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-17.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 254 -10.7% -19.2% 46% 32% -1.1%
≤30d 289 -8.5% -17.2% 47% 34% -4.3%
≤90d 289 -8.5% -17.2% 47% 34% -4.3%
all 289 -8.5% -17.2% 47% 34% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover267.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.2% 34% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -25.1% 26% -13.4%
15% -32.4% 21% -21.8%
20% -39.0% 15% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,486.80 · official $1,486.48 (match) · 3500 history records