Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T17:52:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x330a…eb63
crypto · 70 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$6 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized+$2
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses42 / 27
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)69 / 70
History coverage12d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 69 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$7
14 days+$2
30 days+$2
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) Alex Pereira 50¢ 50¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +198%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$2 +166%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 +$1 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$2
sports 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $2 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET SELL Down 31¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 8¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 25¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $2 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +57%
net ROI/market (all)-1.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 52 +17.3% +6.1% 62% 60% +0.6%
≤30d 69 +8.4% -1.9% 61% 57% -7.0%
≤90d 69 +8.4% -1.9% 61% 57% -7.0%
all 69 +8.4% -1.9% 61% 57% -7.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.9% 57% -7.0%
10% -11.3% 48% -15.9%
15% -19.9% 46% -24.0%
20% -27.7% 36% -31.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.01 · official $1.01 (match) · 132 history records