Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T10:48:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
33 0x3310…1d78 crypto 269 markets active 1h ago coverage 52d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 51d only
✗ bot/MM pace (63 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$7,354 (-3%) realized −$7,354 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR47%break-even
Win rate49%131W / 138L
Whale WR49%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$811per market
Trades / day63.2pace
Kalshi-fit99%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,598
7 days−$6,634
14 days−$6,987
30 days−$9,778
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$7,166
other 0% −$85
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (63 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -18.8% -26.5% 39% 39% -29.2%
≤30d 112 -9.6% -18.2% 46% 46% -17.5%
≤90d 269 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 47% -12.5%
all 269 -3.2% -12.4% 49% 47% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover63.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 47% -12.5%
10% -20.8% 45% -20.9%
15% ← realistic here -28.4% 43% -28.5%
20% -35.4% 41% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 2% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 49% (≥$1,040) neutral
Persistence
early +4% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
9.0 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$646 vs −$666 · ×0.97 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.92 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

52d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,354
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses131 / 138
Whale WR (big bets)49%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)269 / 269
History coverage52d ⚠
Avg bet$811
Trades / day63.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 269 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 19 $548 −$241 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 19 $516 +$400 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 19 $724 +$647 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 19 $615 +$315 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 19 $1,032 −$829 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 19 $205 +$117 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 19 $826 +$646 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 19 $1,445 +$1,118 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$439 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 19 $1,036 −$431 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 19 $793 −$629 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$517 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 19 $793 −$793 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 19 $1,135 −$1,135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 19 $1,032 −$248 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 19 $828 −$612 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 19 $413 +$363 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 19 $827 +$742 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 19 $204 +$184 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 19 $926 +$748 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 19 $203 −$170 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $1,018 +$1,561 +153%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 19 $930 −$839 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 19 $314 −$188 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 19 $311 −$280 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 19 $517 +$448 +87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 19 $414 −$414 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 19 $724 +$614 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $207 −$145 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 19 $517 −$424 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 19 $621 −$550 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 19 $103 +$54 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 19 $517 +$478 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 19 $408 +$161 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 19 $1,719 −$1,684 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $621 −$621 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $827 −$827 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $1,135 −$1,135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $2,792 −$2,682 -96%
Exact Score: Haiti 3 - 0 Scotland? Jun 19 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 19 $1,112 +$1,044 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 19 $411 −$327 -80%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $85 −$35 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 05 $825 +$606 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 05 $931 −$734 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 05 $930 +$770 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 05 $1,448 −$1,331 -92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $1,444 −$15 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 05 $1,031 +$754 +73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $306 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $31 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $103 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $102 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $103 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $104 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $103 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $102 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $102 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $102 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $103 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $103 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $103 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $13 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $190 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $103 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $103 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records