Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:24:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x331d…d39d
crypto · 323 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$217 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$669 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$199
Realized−$669
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses159 / 161
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)320 / 323
History coverage4d
Avg bet$55
Trades / day447.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 320 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$789
7 days−$669
14 days−$669
30 days−$669
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 63¢ 74¢ $94 $111 +$17 (+17%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 81¢ 78¢ $46 $44 −$1 (-3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 32¢ 26¢ $38 $30 −$7 (-20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 75¢ 74¢ $7 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 18¢ 22¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+18%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Down 20¢ 26¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+27%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -2%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 +$2 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $145 −$29 -20%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$7 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $158 −$10 -6%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$1 -6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $27 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $18 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $88 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $233 −$28 -12%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$10 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $40 +$2 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $8 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $46 +$9 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $103 +$13 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $24 +$3 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$9 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $291 −$49 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $80 −$48 -60%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $85 +$5 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $43 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$11 +17%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $48 +$13 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$15 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $63 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $65 +$6 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +56%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $100 +$20 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $96 +$17 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 −$11 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $377 −$100 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $71 −$12 -17%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$673
sports 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $1 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $11 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $9 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 2m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $7 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $10 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $15 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $12 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 5m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-15.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 320 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 39% -13.1%
≤30d 320 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 39% -13.1%
≤90d 320 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 39% -13.1%
all 320 -7.0% -15.9% 50% 39% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover447.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.9% 39% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 32% -21.4%
15% -31.3% 28% -29.0%
20% -38.0% 28% -35.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $198.71 · official $195.55 · 2204 history records