Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:56+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

33
0x3329…43a6
crypto · 1566 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,374 +949%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$1,374
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,438
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$1,374
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions500
Markets (closed)5 / 1566
History coverage1d
Avg bet$0
Trades / day3499.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 500 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 72¢ $0 $360 +$360 (+71950%)
Will Aljamain Sterling fight Alexander Volkanovski next? Yes 0¢ 43¢ $0 $101 +$100 (+42700%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 18¢ $0 $92 +$92 (+18400%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be less than $1.25B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 54¢ $0 $52 +$52 (+54050%)
Will Autodesk Q1 billings be above $2.0B? Yes 0¢ 50¢ $0 $50 +$49 (+49450%)
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election? Yes 0¢ 43¢ $0 $43 +$42 (+42450%)
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 26? Up 0¢ 52¢ $0 $33 +$33 (+51450%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $1.25B and $1.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 33¢ $0 $33 +$33 (+33000%)
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? Yes 0¢ 5¢ $0 $27 +$26 (+5250%)
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Dallas Cowboys in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 0¢ 17¢ $0 $17 +$17 (+17050%)
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes 0¢ 3¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+3150%)
Will Estudiantes LP win Copa Libertadores? Yes 0¢ 31¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+30800%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.0B and $2.5B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 16¢ $0 $16 +$16 (+15600%)
Will Deep Fission's market cap be at least $3.0B at market close on IPO day? Yes 0¢ 20¢ $0 $15 +$15 (+20400%)
Will Maxx Crosby play for New York Jets next? Yes 0¢ 1¢ $1 $12 +$11 (+1100%)
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Kansas City Chiefs in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 0¢ 20¢ $0 $12 +$12 (+19950%)
Bitcoin above 64,400 on June 12, 10AM ET? Yes 0¢ 12¢ $0 $12 +$11 (+11400%)
Bitcoin above 62,000 on June 12, 10AM ET? No 0¢ 12¢ $0 $12 +$11 (+11400%)
Natural Gas (NG) Up or Down on March 31? Up 0¢ 51¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+50840%)
Will De'Von Achane win the 2026 NFL MVP? Yes 0¢ 10¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+9850%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 14°C on June 12? Yes 0¢ 10¢ $0 $10 +$10 (+9750%)
Will Bernard Drainville be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? Yes 0¢ 8¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+8050%)
Will Dexter Lawrence play for the Baltimore Ravens in Week 1 of the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes 0¢ 14¢ $0 $8 +$8 (+13850%)
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 2¢ $0 $8 +$7 (+1450%)
Will Criciúma win Brazil Série B? Yes 0¢ 28¢ $0 $7 +$7 (+27850%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 22? Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Will "Lorde" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Jun 12 $0 $0 +185%
Will "Phoebe Bridgers" be featured on Olivia Rodrigo's new album? Jun 12 $0 $0 -5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 +0%
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $205 on June 11? Jun 11 $0 $0 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 41% +$60
other 30% +$1,279
weather 25% +$29
tech 2% +$4
finance 1% +$1
sports 1% $0
politics 0% $0
culture 0% $0
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 0m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 86°F or higher on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 1m
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 13? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 31°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 2m
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 3m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 5m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 37°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be between $2.5B and $3.0B at market cl BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will Deep Fission's market cap be at least $3.0B at market close on IP BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? BUY No 0¢ $0 6m
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? BUY Yes 0¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)+5.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 +16.2% +5.2% 20% 20% -30.7%
≤30d 5 +16.2% +5.2% 20% 20% -30.7%
≤90d 5 +16.2% +5.2% 20% 20% -30.7%
all 5 +16.2% +5.2% 20% 20% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3499.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +5.2% 20% -30.7%
10% ← realistic here -4.9% 20% -37.4%
15% -14.1% 20% -43.4%
20% -22.5% 20% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,437.95 · official $1,595.10 · 3500 history records