Wallet analysis

2026-06-26T00:57:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

1.5
score
33 0x3330…d97a other 37 markets active 1h ago coverage 94d
TRAPdo not copy
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$12 (-0%) realized −$12 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -10% what you keep after slip
Net edge-10%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate0%0W / 37L
Whale WR0%big bets
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$417per market
Trades / day1.1pace
Kalshi-fit56%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$11
14 days−$11
30 days−$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
other 49% −$10
politics 37% −$3
culture 7% −$3
world 5% −$1
crypto 0% −$1
economics 0% $0
tech 0% $0
finance 0% $0
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤30d 14 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.6%
≤90d 31 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
all 37 -0.1% -9.6% 0% 0% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.6%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top —% · top 2 —% thin sample
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
—% wins margin < slip thin sample
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -0% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 0% (≥$818) big bets weaker
Persistence
early -0% → late -0% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
— vs −$0 no data
Profit factor
×0.0 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $300 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

94d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$12
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 37
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)37 / 37
History coverage94d
Avg bet$417
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit56%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 37 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? Jun 25 $34 $0 -0%
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? Jun 25 $39 $0 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 25 $74 $0 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 25 $1,028 −$2 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 25 $1,001 $0 +0%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 24 $964 −$1 -0%
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Jun 24 $56 $0 -0%
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Jun 24 $1,011 −$2 -0%
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 24 $983 $0 -0%
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 23 $1,057 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? Jun 23 $73 −$1 -1%
Will Switzerland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Jun 23 $13 $0 -0%
Will Kai Havertz be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 23 $1,092 −$2 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 23 $967 −$2 -0%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 19 $100 $0 -0%
Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i Apr 19 $34 $0 -0%
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year? Apr 19 $26 $0 -0%
Will Daniel Mercuri win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 17 $44 $0 -0%
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? Apr 17 $23 $0 -0%
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Apr 16 $818 −$1 -0%
Will Gustavo Bolívar win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? Apr 16 $44 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027? Apr 16 $841 −$1 -0%
Will Kim Jong Un be the next leader out before 2027? Apr 16 $768 −$1 -0%
Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Apr 15 $774 −$1 -0%
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after April 2026 me Apr 15 $65 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 15 $735 $0 +0%
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026? Apr 15 $742 −$1 -0%
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 14 $43 $0 -0%
Will Braga win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League? Apr 14 $51 $0 -0%
Will Park Ju-min win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Apr 14 $810 $0 +0%
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 14 $773 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Mar 28 $126 $0 -0%
Will Steve Hershey win the 2026 Maryland Governor Republican primary e Mar 28 $23 $0 -0%
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap o Mar 27 $12 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Mar 24 $93 $0 -0%
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Mar 24 $61 $0 -0%
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? Mar 24 $28 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? SELL No 100¢ $34 1h
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $26 1h
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? SELL No 100¢ $12 1h
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? BUY No 100¢ $34 1h
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? BUY No 100¢ $39 1h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $74 24h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $1,026 24h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $28 24h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $978 24h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $28 24h
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $18 24h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $34 25h
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $731 25h
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $16 25h
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? SELL No 99¢ $231 25h
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? BUY No 100¢ $964 25h
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? SELL No 100¢ $56 47h
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $1,010 2d
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? BUY No 100¢ $16 2d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $937 2d
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? BUY No 100¢ $29 2d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL Yes 1¢ $1 2d
Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? BUY No 100¢ $12 2d
Will Xavier Bertrand win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $111 2d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $37 2d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $817 2d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $239 2d
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $38 2d
Will Gabriel Bortoleto be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $1,057 2d
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? SELL No 98¢ $72 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 115 history records